The paper presents an in-context learning framework for system identification that replaces traditional two-step model estimation with a meta model mapping training data and query inputs directly to outputs. It introduces a probabilistic Transformer-based architecture capable of handling long training sequences and producing calibrated predictions over extended horizons. Additionally, the authors demonstrate that a pre-trained meta model can generate uncertainty-aware synthetic data to aid classical identification methods and validate their approach on standard nonlinear benchmarks and challenging out-of-distribution scenarios, achieving competitive accuracy and strong generalization.
arXiv:2308. 13380v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Is it possible to understand the intricacies of a dynamical system not solely from its input/output pattern, but also by observing the behavior of other systems within the same class?
arXiv:2609.24117v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Identifying linear time-invariant (LTI) dynamical systems is challenging when trajectories are short, noisy, or high-dimensional. Traditional system id...
arXiv:2607. 18965v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep learning has proven highly effective for nonlinear system identification, but heavily parameterized neural networks are prone to overfitting in low-data regimes and lack reliable uncertainty quantification.
arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.
The paper introduces a framework for aligning the inductive bias of linear time‑invariant State Space Models (SSMs) with task‑specific spectral characteristics. By formalizing the bias through an SSM‑induced kernel and showing its spectrum is governed by the model’s frequency response, the authors propose Task‑Dependent Initialization (TDI), a fast power‑spectrum matching method. Experiments on synthetic data, one‑layer SSMs, and deep SSMs across real‑world benchmarks demonstrate that TDI improves data‑efficient generalization when the task’s spectral structure differs from the default SSM bias.
arXiv:2607. 02850v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Meta-learning without labeled data is crucial for real-world applications, where obtaining labeled datasets can be expensive or restricted due to privacy concerns.
arXiv:2608. 07420v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: World models are expected to support imagination over extended temporal horizons, yet most are still trained through local few-step prediction objectives and deployed by recursively rolling out their own predictions.
arXiv:2511. 18945v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We propose a fully data-driven approach to designing mutual information (MI) estimators.
TabMF is a framework that repurposes pretrained tabular foundation models (TFMs) as encoders for supervised datasets, adding a dataset-level readout and fine‑tuning via contrastive post‑training on synthetic views. The authors instantiate TabMF on TabICLv2 and TabPFN‑2.5 and evaluate the resulting representations on six tasks involving unseen real datasets. The approach achieves the best aggregate performance among both learned and classical dataset representations, excelling in dataset retrieval, compact benchmark construction, and distribution‑shift severity assessment.
arXiv:2610.00873v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In many industrial applications, 1) tabular data is scarce and imbalanced and thus requires synthetic expansion; 2) input distributions drift between...
arXiv:2607. 05908v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Real-world data distributions evolve over time, inducing temporal distribution shift that can substantially degrade the reliability of deployed machine learning systems.
arXiv:2608. 18339v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Vision-language models (VLMs) have demonstrated remarkable zero-shot capabilities yet remain sensitive to real-world distribution shifts during inference.