The paper presents a Bayesian framework that uses remote sensing to estimate the true rooftop photovoltaic (PV) capacity, correcting for detector imperfections and providing uncertainty estimates. Applied to France, the method yields a 4.03 GWp estimate for rooftop PV below 36 kWp, aligning with transmission operator data within 3.3% nationally but revealing local under‑reports up to 61%. It also identifies a significant truncation bias in French open PV data, highlighting the need for more reliable capacity estimates worldwide.
By Gabriel Kasmi, Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan, Laurent Dubus, Philippe Blanc
SolarBench is an open global benchmark for image-based solar nowcasting that consolidates over six million sky and satellite images from 11 sites across a decade, paired with irradiance, PV output, and atmospheric data. The benchmark includes a toolbox for reproducible data access, processing, model development, and evaluation. Using SolarBench, the authors benchmark representative models, uncover a gap between average forecasting accuracy and the capture of rapid solar fluctuations, quantify predictability across cloud regimes, and demonstrate data‑efficient adaptation to new PV systems.
By Yuhao Nie, Stephen Campbell, Quentin Paletta, Liwenbo Zhang, Tao Jing, Samer Chaaraoui, Jonathan Giezendanner, Andea Scott, Tao Sun, Cong Feng, Max Aragon, Jacques Camier, Adam Jensen, Florian Kotthoff, Yuexing Yang, Yang Ming, Mengying Li, Stefanie Meilinger, Yupeng Wu, Adam Brandt, Sherrie Wang
OpenCVL is a large, open dataset for fine-grained cross-view localization, comprising 617,388 ground‑aerial image pairs from 41 European cities. It blends high‑end sensor data with diverse in‑the‑wild images and includes a curation framework to correct pose annotations, enabling reliable evaluation. The dataset also offers cross‑area and snowy test sets to probe generalization, and experiments show that adding noisy in‑the‑wild data improves model performance on clean tests.
By Zimin Xia, Mubariz Zaffar, Junsheng Fu, Alexandre Alahi, Julian F. P. Kooij
arXiv:2607. 22342v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The development of effective urban climate adaptation strategies requires comprehensive spatial information on rooftops and buildings, since such information underpins the assessment of ecosystem services provided by green infrastructure, particularly for urban heat island (UHI) mitigation.
By Htet Yamin Ko Ko
arXiv:2609.26631v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Accurate ground-based cloud classification is important for atmospheric monitoring, solar-energy forecasting, aviation weather assessment, and climate...
By Esther Bou Dagher, Viktoriya Bu-Dager, Boguslaw Zegarlinski
arXiv:2606. 06102v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Ultra-short-term solar irradiance prediction is critical for photovoltaic system dispatch and power grid stability.
By Jingxin Zhang Xiaoqin Wang
arXiv:2411. 10921v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate forecasts of distributed solar generation are necessary to maintain grid stability amid the increased uptake of distributed solar photovoltaic (PV) systems.
By Maneesha Perera, Julian De Hoog, Kasun Bandara, Hansani Weeratunge, Saman Halgamuge
The paper introduces SolCloudLLM, a large language model–based framework that fuses sky‑image patches with time‑series data through bidirectional multimodal fusion for short‑term solar forecasting. Experiments on the SIRTA and SKIPP'D datasets show that SolCloudLLM outperforms existing baselines, achieving up to a 25.4% reduction in mean squared error, especially under cloudy conditions and in few‑shot scenarios.
By Ken Chen, Maneesha Perera, Wei Wang, Sachith Seneviratne, Hansani Weeratunge, Saman Halgamuge
arXiv:2608. 02088v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reliable photovoltaic (PV) forecasts are needed for low-carbon energy systems, but newly deployed sites often have short, imperfect records.
By Fariba Dehghan, Sebastian Stein, Vahid Yazdanpanah, Stephanie Gauthier, Masood Nazari
The paper proposes a hybrid approach for detecting surface defects on solar panels by combining handcrafted features—Local Binary Pattern, Histogram of Gradients, and Gabor Filters—with deep features extracted from DenseNet‑169. The concatenated feature set is classified using SVM, XGBoost, and LGBM, with the DenseNet‑169 + Gabor (SVM) configuration achieving the highest accuracy of 99.17% on an augmented dataset. This method aims to provide an automated, accurate, and flexible defect‑detection system for large‑scale, remote solar power plants.
By Muhammad Junaid Asif, Muhammad Saad Rafaqat, Usman Nazakat, Uzair Khan, Rana Fayyaz Ahmad
PROSWIN is a probabilistic machine learning model that forecasts hourly solar wind speed at Earth up to four days ahead, using solar images and magnetograms processed by a deep neural network and distributional regression. It introduces a prediction score metric that rewards both timeline and high‑speed solar wind peak accuracy, achieving well‑calibrated uncertainties and superior performance on 14 years of data compared to existing models. The study highlights the importance of the 171 Å channel and demonstrates that probabilistic forecasts outperform single‑value models for both overall timelines and peak events.
By Daniel Collin, Yuri Shprits, Luca Chiarabini, Stefan J. Hofmeister, Nadja Klein, Guillermo Gallego
arXiv:2609.15049v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: An ensemble can improve photovoltaic forecasts while adding components that contribute little or increase computation. We assess these effects throug...
By Sun Ze, Zhou Liguo, Xu Yuqing, Yu Lei, Jiang Mingming