arXiv AI

AdaWeather: Adaptively Mixing Probabilistic Weather Forecasts with Logarithmic Regret

arXiv:2606. 02663v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Recent advances in machine learning have produced probabilistic weather forecasting models comparable to state-of-the-art numerical weather predictors.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 13

Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction

arXiv:2604. 16238v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Decision-makers rely on weather forecasts to plant crops, manage wildfires, allocate water and energy, and prepare for weather extremes.

By Hannah Guan, Soukayna Mouatadid, Paulo Orenstein, Judah Cohen, Haiyu Dong, Zekun Ni, Jeremy Berman, Genevieve Flaspohler, Alex Lu, Jakob Schloer, Joshua Talib, Jonathan A. Weyn, Lester Mackey
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 26

Huracan: A skillful end-to-end data-driven system for ensemble data assimilation and weather prediction

arXiv:2508. 18486v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Over the past few years, machine learning-based data-driven weather prediction has been transforming operational weather forecasting by providing more accurate forecasts while using a mere fraction of computing power compared to traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP).

By Zekun Ni, Jonathan Weyn, Hang Zhang, Yanfei Xiang, Jiang Bian, Weixin Jin, Kit Thambiratnam, Qi Zhang, Haiyu Dong, Hongyu Sun