arXiv:2412. 12807v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Selective classification is a powerful tool for automated decision-making in high-risk scenarios, allowing classifiers to act only when confident and abstain when uncertainty is high.
arXiv:2609.06873v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study how a limited labeling budget should be allocated to minimize multiclass zero-one classification risk. We consider parametric classification...
arXiv:2606. 26053v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Synthetic data augmentation is widely used to mitigate class imbalance, but its theoretical effects on score-based classification remain poorly understood.
arXiv:2607. 27143v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: High-stakes decision systems in credit scoring, fraud detection, healthcare, and industrial safety require reliable uncertainty quantification under severe class imbalance and asymmetric error costs.
arXiv:2608. 11162v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The Naive Bayes (NB) classifier remains a standard choice for categorical data, yet its widely used smoothing rules, such as Laplace, Lidstone, Krichevsky-Trofimov, and the $m$-estimate, all prescribe a fixed smoothing strength that ignores feature cardinality, sample size, and class imbalance, inducing a non-vanishing bias on modern high-cardinality tabular data.
Synthetic data augmentation is widely used to mitigate class imbalance, but its theoretical effects on score-based classification remain poorly understood. This paper develops a framework for characterizing when synthetic minority augmentation can improve threshold-integrated and threshold-optimized metrics, including AUROC, AUPRC, best-threshold balanced accuracy, and best-threshold \(\F_1\) score.
arXiv:2606. 15237v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Ensemble classifiers are predictive models that combine the results of simpler base models, often by majority vote.
The paper introduces soft‑label‑based estimators for the Bayes‑optimal balanced error rate (BER) and area under the ROC curve (AUC), extending from a clean setting with known class priors to a realistic scenario with unknown priors and corrupted soft labels. It also adapts the FeeBee evaluation framework to assess these estimators without needing the true optimum, providing practical evaluation scores for any estimator of optimal BER or AUC. Experiments on synthetic and real datasets confirm the effectiveness of both the estimators and the evaluation method.
arXiv:2607. 05806v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Training data for machine learning is routinely collected by a selection process the model never sees: loans are observed only when granted, outcomes only when a test was ordered.
arXiv:2609.24949v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Binary classification trees select subgroups using the same outcomes later used to assess their differences. We develop finite-sample conditional tes...
arXiv:2608.23960v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Missing labels are usually regarded as a source of information loss in classification. We study a semi-supervised setting in which the probability of...
arXiv:2509. 07605v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Class imbalance poses a significant challenge to supervised classification, particularly in critical domains like medical diagnostics and anomaly detection where minority class instances are rare.
Classifiers can make identical predictions yet require labels to compare their selective performance: confidence ranks weight the same errors differently. We quantify this requirement for the area und...