arXiv Machine Learning

Multigroup Fairness and Omniprediction: Separations and Equivalences

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 6

Multicalibration Yields Better Matchings

arXiv:2511. 11413v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Consider the problem of finding the best matching in a weighted graph where we only have access to predictions of the actual stochastic weights, based on an underlying context.

By Riccardo Colini Baldeschi, Simone Di Gregorio, Simone Fioravanti, Federico Fusco, Ido Guy, Daniel Haimovich, Stefano Leonardi, Fridolin Linder, Lorenzo Perini, Matteo Russo, Cem Sirin, Niek Tax
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 18

When fairness metrics fail: A utility-based perspective on $\varepsilon$-fairness

The paper argues that traditional probabilistic fairness metrics can miss significant disparities in the actual consequences of decisions. By introducing a utility-based framework, the authors show that a process can satisfy ε-fairness yet still be maximally unfair when utilities are considered. They apply this framework to college admissions and credit‑risk assessment, demonstrating that equalizing probabilities alone may mask unequal utility outcomes across groups.

By Tolulope Fadina, Thorsten Schmidt
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 26

Replicable Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2608.23638v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Two analysts who calibrate the same predictive model on independent samples will deploy different prediction sets every time, because the calibration...

By Marios Papamichalis, Regina Ruane, Theofanis Papamichalis
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 23

Optimal Recalibration of an Online Predictor

arXiv:2607. 19689v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study the problem of recalibrating an online predictor [KE17, OKS24]: given an arbitrary "hint" sequence of forecasts, the learner must output new predictions that are calibrated while incurring small excess error relative to the original forecasts, under a proper loss.

By Lunjia Hu, Kevin Tian, Chutong Yang