arXiv Machine Learning

Optimal Deterministic Multicalibration and Omniprediction

arXiv:2606. 20557v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A model is multicalibrated on a collection of group weights $G$ if it is calibrated -- i.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 15

A Complexity Measure for Active Learning in Multi-group Mean Estimation

arXiv:2606. 14690v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study a \emph{max-risk} objective for active learning in a multi-group mean estimation $d$-armed bandits: a learner adaptively allocates a budget of $T$ samples across $d$ groups to minimize the worst-case uncertainty index $\max_{k\in[d]}\sigma_k^2/n_k$, where $\sigma_k$ is the standard deviation of the distribution of arm $d$, and $n_k$ is the number of times arm $d$ is sampled.

By Abdellah Aznag, Rachel Cummings, Adam N. Elmachtoub
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 6

Multicalibration Yields Better Matchings

arXiv:2511. 11413v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Consider the problem of finding the best matching in a weighted graph where we only have access to predictions of the actual stochastic weights, based on an underlying context.

By Riccardo Colini Baldeschi, Simone Di Gregorio, Simone Fioravanti, Federico Fusco, Ido Guy, Daniel Haimovich, Stefano Leonardi, Fridolin Linder, Lorenzo Perini, Matteo Russo, Cem Sirin, Niek Tax
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 20

Testing Distributions Against Bounded Distinguishers

arXiv:2607. 15645v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Motivated by the challenge of testing distributions over high-dimensional or continuous domains, we study distribution testing with respect to bounded classes of distinguishers.

By Mark Bun, Rathin Desai, Renato Ferreira Pinto Jr
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 23

Optimal Recalibration of an Online Predictor

arXiv:2607. 19689v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study the problem of recalibrating an online predictor [KE17, OKS24]: given an arbitrary "hint" sequence of forecasts, the learner must output new predictions that are calibrated while incurring small excess error relative to the original forecasts, under a proper loss.

By Lunjia Hu, Kevin Tian, Chutong Yang