arXiv Machine Learning

A Theoretical Interpretation of In-Context Learning via Probabilistic Modeling

arXiv:2606. 28926v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In-context learning (ICL) is an emerging paradigm that employs the semantic information inherent in large language models (LLMs) for generating answers to user queries.

arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 16

In-context Learning vs. Instruction Tuning: The Case of Small and Multilingual Language Models

The paper investigates whether in‑context learning (ICL) can replace instruction tuning for multilingual language models, especially as model size varies. It highlights the difficulty of obtaining high‑quality instruction data in multilingual settings and compares the performance of ICL versus instruction‑tuned models. The findings show that a performance gap persists between the two approaches, suggesting the need for further research to close it.

By David Ponce, Thierry Etchegoyhen
arXiv AI
2d ago

Verbalized and Internal Probabilities Are Coupled in Large Language Models

The paper investigates the relationship between a large language model’s internal probability distribution and its verbalized confidence statements. By systematically manipulating training and in‑context data, the authors show that both internal and verbalized probabilities are influenced by distributional and asserted uncertainty in the data. They find that verbalized probabilities align with internal ones beyond what would be expected if they tracked the same sources independently, indicating that verbalized confidence can serve as a probe of the model’s internal distribution.

By Sinead Williamson, Jiaxuan Li, Nick Foti, Russ Webb, Masha Fedzechkina
arXiv AI
Aug 25

What Models Know, How Well They Know It: Knowledge-Weighted Fine-Tuning for Learning When to Say "I Don't Know"

The paper introduces Knowledge-Weighted Fine‑Tuning, a method that estimates an instance‑level knowledge score through multi‑sampled inference and uses it to scale the learning signal. This approach encourages large language models to explicitly say "I don't know" on out‑of‑scope queries while preserving accuracy on known questions. The authors also propose new evaluation metrics for uncertainty, demonstrating that better discrimination between known and unknown instances improves overall performance.

By Joosung Lee, Hwiyeol Jo, Donghyeon Ko, Kyubyung Chae, Cheonbok Park, Jeonghoon Kim