arXiv Machine Learning

Diagrams-to-Dynamics (D2D): Exploring Causal Loop Diagram Leverage Points under Uncertainty

arXiv:2508. 05659v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Background: Causal loop diagrams (CLDs) are widely used in health and environmental research to represent hypothesized causal structures underlying complex problems.

arXiv AI
Jul 8

From Graphs to Gradients: Physics-Inspired Structural Attribution for Cyber-Physical IoT Systems and Beyond

arXiv:2607. 05563v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Interpretable explanation methods in Artificial Intelligence aim to uncover the underlying causes and their effects, enabling a deeper understanding of why a system behaves in a certain way under different inputs.

By Spyridon Evangelatos, Christos Diou, Georgios Th. Papadopoulos, Evangelos Markakis, Panagiotis Sarigiannidis
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 30

FinInvest-GTCN: Explainable Graph-Temporal-Causal Modeling for Risk-Aware Investment Decision Optimization

arXiv:2606. 28933v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Venture capital (VC) investment decisions face distinct challenges, such as multi-source heterogeneous data, non-stationary time series, and the demand for explainable predictions in high-stakes, low-data settings.

By Junyan Tan, Yifan Li, Minghao Wang, Zihan Chen, Haoyu Zhang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 31

DoTime: A Synthetic Benchmark Generator for Interventional and Counterfactual Time Series

arXiv:2607. 27263v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Most benchmarks for causal inference over time series are observational, small, or domain-specific, leaving interventional and counterfactual estimation under-served exactly where it matters most, such as in healthcare, policy evaluation, and climate science.

By Dennis Thumm, Billy Tim Anthony, Ying Chen
Hugging Face Trending Papers
6d ago

A Unifying Perspective on Causal World Models: From Observations to Representations to Structure

World Models (WM) are increasingly seen as a foundation for intelligent agents that can predict, plan, and act beyond their training distribution. In this paper, we study WMs from a causal perspective across multiple levels of abstraction, ranging from perceptual observations to building a conceptual representation of the structure governing the environment dynamics.