Modelling individual decision-making during infectious disease outbreaks is crucial for understanding behavioural dynamics and informing effective public health interventions. Prior work has shown that large language models can simulate realistic human behaviour by generating agent decisions based on demographic prompts and situational context.
arXiv:2607. 06757v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Agent-based modeling (ABM) has the capability to model millions of individuals and their interactions, which is useful for policy making.
By Sifat Afroj Moon, Dakotah Maguire, Adam Spannaus, Joe Tuccillo, Maksudul Alam, Sudip K. Seal, John Gounley, Heidi Hanson
arXiv:2606. 02867v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Human behaviour during epidemics affects infectious disease dynamics, but quantifying this remains deeply challenging.
By Petra Ferenz, Ava Keeling, Tobias O'Keefe, Lorenzo Stigliano, Francesco Di Lauro, Andres Colubri, Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths
arXiv:2608.29535v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Infectious disease transmission is shaped by patterns of human interaction, which adapt as epidemic conditions change. Capturing these context-depend...
By Yicheng Mao, Haoyang Li, Rob Deardon, Hongru Du
CityReal is a modular framework that uses large language model agents to simulate human-aligned urban behavior. It models agents as intention-driven decision makers who pursue coherent mobility and activity plans, learning habits and preferences over time. By training textual adapters to align agent decisions with observed population statistics, CityReal improves realism at both micro and macro levels and can scale to tens of thousands of agents for analyzing crowd density, place popularity, mobility flows, and well‑being under various urban scenarios.
By Nicolas Bougie, Xiaotong Ye, Narimasa Watanabe
arXiv:2505. 14752v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Macro-aligned micro-records are crucial for credible simulations in social science and urban studies.
By Yihong Tang, Menglin Kong, Junlin He, Tong Nie, Wei Ma, Lijun Sun
arXiv:2607. 17437v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language model (LLM) agents offer a generative approach to simulating human behavior under conditions that may have few or no direct historical analogues, a common challenge in disaster and infrastructure-disruption planning.
By Chen Xia, Zexi Kuang, Yuqing Hu
The Epydemix Agent Framework adds an AI‑friendly layer to the Epydemix Python library for stochastic epidemic modeling. It provides four key features: model and parameter discovery, declarative scenario validation, execution via tested code, and result inspectability, enabling an AI agent to manage the entire modeling workflow from natural‑language input to quantitative outputs. The authors demonstrate the framework with a vaccination strategy case study and evaluate it over 50 agent sessions, showing reductions in turns, output tokens, and cost compared to direct Python use.
By Nicol\`o Gozzi, Ciro Cattuto, Alessandro Vespignani
arXiv:2606. 05692v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep learning has enabled significant advances in time-series causal inference, yet progress remains constrained by the lack of realistic benchmarks with observable counterfactual outcomes.
By Wenhao Mu, Facundo Yan, Anik Mumssen, Marisa Eisenberg, Alexander Rodr\'iguez
The paper introduces a signaling‑game framework to model how individuals strategically misreport behavioral data—such as mask usage and vaccination status—to public health authorities. It provides a generative model of such adversarial data and a method for authorities to recover reliable signals, analyzing equilibrium outcomes and evaluating how deception affects epidemic control. Large‑scale simulations and real‑world validation show that well‑designed sender and receiver strategies can still maintain effective epidemic control even with pervasive dishonesty, and that behavioral distortions often follow structured patterns rather than random noise.
By Yiqi Su, Christo Kurisummoottil Thomas, Walid Saad, Sanmay Das, Bud Mishra, Naren Ramakrishnan
Deep learning has enabled significant advances in time-series causal inference, yet progress remains constrained by the lack of realistic benchmarks with observable counterfactual outcomes. Existing datasets either rely on real-world observations without ground-truth counterfactuals or on simplified simulations that fail to capture complex causal dynamics.
arXiv:2606. 12657v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Human mobility data is important for transportation, urban planning, and epidemic control, but large-scale trajectory collection is often costly and privacy-constrained, motivating realistic synthetic trajectory generation.
By Siyu Li, Toan Tran, Lingyi Zhao, Khurram Shafique, Li Xiong