arXiv AI

An Infectious Disease Spread Simulation Based on Large Language Model Decision Making

arXiv:2606. 06360v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modelling individual decision-making during infectious disease outbreaks is crucial for understanding behavioural dynamics and informing effective public health interventions.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 4

An Infectious Disease Spread Simulation Based on Large Language Model Decision Making

Modelling individual decision-making during infectious disease outbreaks is crucial for understanding behavioural dynamics and informing effective public health interventions. Prior work has shown that large language models can simulate realistic human behaviour by generating agent decisions based on demographic prompts and situational context.

arXiv AI
Jul 9

LLM-powered reasoning in agent-based modeling

arXiv:2607. 06757v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Agent-based modeling (ABM) has the capability to model millions of individuals and their interactions, which is useful for policy making.

By Sifat Afroj Moon, Dakotah Maguire, Adam Spannaus, Joe Tuccillo, Maksudul Alam, Sudip K. Seal, John Gounley, Heidi Hanson
arXiv AI
Aug 19

CityReal: Human-Aligned Urban Behavior and City Dynamics Simulation with Large-Scale LLM Agents

CityReal is a modular framework that uses large language model agents to simulate human-aligned urban behavior. It models agents as intention-driven decision makers who pursue coherent mobility and activity plans, learning habits and preferences over time. By training textual adapters to align agent decisions with observed population statistics, CityReal improves realism at both micro and macro levels and can scale to tens of thousands of agents for analyzing crowd density, place popularity, mobility flows, and well‑being under various urban scenarios.

By Nicolas Bougie, Xiaotong Ye, Narimasa Watanabe
arXiv AI
Sep 25

Driving Epidemic Models with AI Agents: the Epydemix Agent Framework

The Epydemix Agent Framework adds an AI‑friendly layer to the Epydemix Python library for stochastic epidemic modeling. It provides four key features: model and parameter discovery, declarative scenario validation, execution via tested code, and result inspectability, enabling an AI agent to manage the entire modeling workflow from natural‑language input to quantitative outputs. The authors demonstrate the framework with a vaccination strategy case study and evaluate it over 50 agent sessions, showing reductions in turns, output tokens, and cost compared to direct Python use.

By Nicol\`o Gozzi, Ciro Cattuto, Alessandro Vespignani
arXiv AI
Aug 19

Adversarial Data Modeling in Epidemiology

The paper introduces a signaling‑game framework to model how individuals strategically misreport behavioral data—such as mask usage and vaccination status—to public health authorities. It provides a generative model of such adversarial data and a method for authorities to recover reliable signals, analyzing equilibrium outcomes and evaluating how deception affects epidemic control. Large‑scale simulations and real‑world validation show that well‑designed sender and receiver strategies can still maintain effective epidemic control even with pervasive dishonesty, and that behavioral distortions often follow structured patterns rather than random noise.

By Yiqi Su, Christo Kurisummoottil Thomas, Walid Saad, Sanmay Das, Bud Mishra, Naren Ramakrishnan
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 4

Benchmarking Counterfactual Prediction in Epidemic Time Series with Time-Varying Interventions

Deep learning has enabled significant advances in time-series causal inference, yet progress remains constrained by the lack of realistic benchmarks with observable counterfactual outcomes. Existing datasets either rely on real-world observations without ground-truth counterfactuals or on simplified simulations that fail to capture complex causal dynamics.