arXiv Machine Learning

Workload-Preserving Differentially Private Synthetic Data for Causal Inference via Maximum-Entropy Calibration

arXiv:2607. 08122v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Workload-based differentially private (DP) synthetic data methods privately measure aggregate queries and post-process the noisy answers into synthetic records.

arXiv AI
Jun 24

A Survey on Federated Causal Discovery and Inference

arXiv:2606. 23741v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal reasoning, which encompasses the discovery of causal structures and the inference of causal effects, is fundamental to data-driven decision making.

By Xianjie Guo, Yuwei Wang, Guodu Xiang, Xiaoli Tang, Kui Yu, Han Yu, Qiang Yang
arXiv Statistics ML
Aug 25

Model-Agnostic Covariate-Assisted Inference on Partially Identified Causal Effects

The paper introduces a model‑agnostic inference framework for partially identified causal effects that leverages covariate information without requiring discrete covariates or accurate conditional distribution estimates. Using duality theory for optimal transport, the method delivers uniformly valid inference in randomized experiments, is doubly robust in observational settings, achieves asymptotic unbiasedness when nuisance parameters converge semiparametrically, and allows multiplier‑bootstrap selection of covariates and models while remaining computationally efficient. Empirical applications show the approach consistently narrows identified sets and confidence intervals without imposing extra structural assumptions.

By Wenlong Ji, Lihua Lei, Asher Spector
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 4

Portable Causal Fairness Across Synthetic Data Generator Families

The paper demonstrates that causal fairness mechanisms can be applied across a wide range of synthetic data generators, including marginal‑based, GAN, and diffusion models, each with differentially private variants. By porting three fairness definitions to nine generators and testing them on Adult and COMPAS datasets, the authors show that the causal diffusion backbone consistently produces the fairest data releases while maintaining high fidelity. The fairness cuts have minimal impact on data quality, costing downstream classifiers only about $0.07$ to $0.15$ AUC on average, and adding privacy guarantees does not reduce fairness.

By Steven Golob, Sikha Pentyala, Martine De Cock