arXiv AI

Bayesian Inference of Nonlinear Malaria Dynamics in Ghana via an Ensemble Markov Chain Monte Carlo Sampler

arXiv:2606. 00783v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reliable quantification of malaria dynamics in sub-Saharan Africa is hindered by short, noisy, and spatially heterogeneous surveillance records.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 14

Hierarchical Bayesian Quadrature

arXiv:2607. 10793v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Numerical integration is a cornerstone of various scientific computing applications, such as engineering simulations and model evidence computations in probabilistic machine learning.

By Tim Weiland, Toni Karvonen, Philipp Hennig
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 2

TRIE: An Evaluation Framework for Stochastic PDE Surrogates

arXiv:2607. 00196v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Many scientific systems exhibit uncertainty from stochastic forcing, unresolved degrees of freedom, or imperfect observations, making reliable surrogate forecasting fundamentally distributional rather than pointwise.

By Bharat Srikishan, Javier E. Santos, Nikhil Muralidhar, Charles D. Young
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 16

AI for Social Good: An Investigation of the Causal Relationship Between Environmental Regulations and Their Effects on Air Pollution in London, UK

arXiv:2606. 15257v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Air pollution regulation is central to urban public health governance, but estimating its effects is difficult because policies are implemented non-randomly and pollution trajectories are shaped by meteorology, socioeconomic change, temporal trends, and overlapping interventions.

By Yang Han, Jacqueline CK Lam, Victor OK Li, Yiu-Wai Man