arXiv:2606. 00834v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate malaria forecasting remains a major challenge in sub-Saharan Africa, where strong seasonality, reporting uncertainty, and non-stationary transmission dynamics reduce the reliability of conventional models.
By T. Ansah-Narh, Y. Asare Afrane, J. Bremang Tandoh
arXiv:2606. 27286v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Mechanistic epidemiological models are widely used to support infectious disease forecasting and public-health decision making.
By Alina Bazarova, Johann Fredrik Jadebeck, Henrik Zunker, Carolina J. Klett-Tammen, Torben Heinsohn, Wolfgang Wiechert, Katharina Noeh, Stefan Kesselheim
arXiv:2603. 07108v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Accurate and reliable forecasting of epidemic incidences is critical for public health preparedness, yet it remains a challenging task due to complex nonlinear temporal dependencies and heterogeneous spatial interactions.
By Rajdeep Pathak, Tanujit Chakraborty
arXiv:2601. 20771v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Accurate forecasting of infectious disease incidence is critical for public health planning and timely intervention.
By Zacharias Komodromos, Kleanthis Malialis, Artemis Kontou, Panayiotis Kolios
arXiv:2606. 19560v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Seasonal influenza infects millions of people and causes substantial morbidity and mortality in the United States each year, making accurate short-term forecasting a core public-health need.
By Alireza Jafari, Judy Fox, Geoffrey C. Fox, Madhav Marathe, Aniruddha Adiga
arXiv:2511. 23276v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Effective HFMD surveillance requires forecasts capturing both time-series patterns and contextual drivers such as school calendars, weather, and policy or surveillance reports.
By Joongwon Chae, Runming Wang, Chen Xiong, Gong Yunhan, Lian Zhang, Ji Jiansong, Dongmei Yu, Peiwu Qin
arXiv:2608. 02633v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Regional surveillance data reflect local transmission, reporting, seeding, and external infection pressure, which are difficult to identify separately.
By Weixiong Hua, Fan Bu
arXiv:2606. 05365v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We consider multi-environment prediction problems.
By Yuli Slavutsky, Matthew Shen, Bohan Wu, David M. Blei
arXiv:2606. 20459v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: IVF pregnancy rates are routinely modeled using patient-level variables, while high-resolution laboratory environmental data remain underutilized.
By Zahra Asghari Varzaneh, Reza Khoshkangini, Pia Saldeen, Lars Johansson, Thomas Ebner
arXiv:2607. 10793v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Numerical integration is a cornerstone of various scientific computing applications, such as engineering simulations and model evidence computations in probabilistic machine learning.
By Tim Weiland, Toni Karvonen, Philipp Hennig
arXiv:2607. 00196v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Many scientific systems exhibit uncertainty from stochastic forcing, unresolved degrees of freedom, or imperfect observations, making reliable surrogate forecasting fundamentally distributional rather than pointwise.
By Bharat Srikishan, Javier E. Santos, Nikhil Muralidhar, Charles D. Young
arXiv:2606. 15257v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Air pollution regulation is central to urban public health governance, but estimating its effects is difficult because policies are implemented non-randomly and pollution trajectories are shaped by meteorology, socioeconomic change, temporal trends, and overlapping interventions.
By Yang Han, Jacqueline CK Lam, Victor OK Li, Yiu-Wai Man