arXiv Machine Learning

Mind the Cap: Output-Budget Regimes Change the Measured Multilingual Reasoning Gap

arXiv:2608. 04160v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multilingual evaluations report accuracy at a single output-token cap, but languages need different numbers of tokens to express the same content, so the cap is a hidden experimental variable.

arXiv AI
Sep 4

It's the Problem, Not the Path: Budget and Difficulty Confounds in LLM Reasoning Trajectories

The paper investigates whether large language models’ reasoning traces truly contain early, informative signals or merely reflect budget and difficulty confounds. Using a restart‑controlled truncation probe, the authors compare continuation success rates against from‑scratch restart curves across 178 problem‑model pairs, finding that only one case shows prefix‑limited success and that continuing a model’s own prefix generally outperforms restarting. A difficulty‑controlled test and two generation‑free analyses reveal that early internal signals do not carry outcome information beyond a problem‑difficulty baseline, underscoring the need for proper counterfactual controls.

By Yigit Utku Bulut
arXiv AI
3d ago

Budget Boundary Effects in Test-Time Mathematical Reasoning

arXiv:2609.38699v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A cumulative token cap can fall inside a mathematical derivation, forcing a test-time controller to choose between stopping at the cap (strict) and all...

By Guilin Zhang, Ziqi Tan, Wulan Guo, Kai Zhao, Hongyun Yang, Mei Luo, Qi Ning, Feng Yang
arXiv AI
2d ago

Measuring the Microtask Eligibility Gap: When Is an Off-the-Shelf SLM Enough for an Agent Harness?

The paper introduces a benchmark for evaluating whether off‑the‑shelf small language models (SLMs) can reliably perform microtasks that support a large language model (LLM) planner, such as auto‑approving shell commands, writing memory, selecting tools, and ranking past turns. Using fixed prompts and confidence‑interval‑aware eligibility thresholds, the authors test several Qwen3 models (0.6/1.7/4/8 B) in FP16 with no tuning and find that none of the 16 configurations meet the eligibility criteria. Quantization to 4‑bit precision further degrades performance, with the eligibility gap tracking model size rather than precision, and the issue persists across different models (e.g., Llama‑3.x) and prompt variations.

By Jundong Hu, Shekar Ramachandran
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 17

A Calibrated Instrument for Measuring How Inference Optimizations Affect Output Quality

The paper introduces a calibrated instrument for rigorously measuring how inference optimizations—such as quantization, early‑exit, and speculative decoding—affect the output quality of large language models. It uses a formally calibrated LLM judge that verifies no systematic bias between statistically equivalent outputs and includes a null condition to ensure measured differences are zero. Applying this method, the authors find that a 4‑bit model is indistinguishable from its 16‑bit counterpart, while 3‑bit quantization and early‑exit techniques incur measurable quality losses that vary by language and task, and that token‑certainty‑based acceptance rules cannot reliably identify impactful errors.

By Jerry Kaplan
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 25

Encoded but Not Decoded: Layer-Localized Evidence for a Three-Level Gap in LLM Syntax

The paper introduces a three-level evaluation framework—behavioral deployment, LM-head readout, and probe recoverability—to distinguish whether a language model fails a syntactic test by not encoding structure or by failing to use it. Using a trilingual control-dependency benchmark, the authors find that probe recoverability consistently exceeds LM-head readout, which in turn exceeds behavioral deployment across seven models and three languages, with the largest gap observed in Qwen3-0.6B Instruct. Layer-localized activation patching shows that instruction tuning shifts the decoded layer later, suggesting decoding favors surface shortcuts and that behavioral evaluation understates what models encode while probing alone overstates what they deploy.

By Zhenyan Lu, He Wang, Xiaohui Huang
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 24

MWE-ECL: Recoverable Long-Range Context Does Not Always Override Local Lexical Priors

The paper introduces MWE‑ECL, a bilingual diagnostic framework that tests whether distant discourse anchors can override local lexical priors in multi‑word expression interpretation. It evaluates models on a 0‑128K context grid, finding that while retrieval of anchors is near perfect, the ability to change locally preferred readings varies, especially when the model’s default conflicts with the anchor. The study shows that explicit recoverability does not always translate into behavioral influence, with gaps differing across models and languages.

By Wei He, Aline Villavicencio, Rodrigo Wilkens, Zhenyun Deng