arXiv Machine Learning

Variance-Optimal Off-Policy Evaluation with Conjunct Effect Modeling

arXiv AI
Oct 9

Budgeted Multi-Source Counterfactual Annotation for Off-Policy Evaluation

The paper proposes a method for allocating limited counterfactual annotation resources from multiple sources—such as domain experts and large language models—to improve off-policy evaluation in contextual bandits. By formulating an integer optimization problem that balances source-specific costs and error rates, the authors derive a majorization‑minimization algorithm that iteratively reduces estimator variance. Experiments on synthetic clinical and education bandit data demonstrate that the optimized allocation cuts mean‑squared error by over 20% compared to no annotation.

By Biao Xiang, Ali Eshragh, Yuexing Li, Kai Wang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 2

Bandit Simulation for Average Reward Inference

arXiv:2606. 00913v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multi-arm bandit algorithms are increasingly used in online platforms, clinical trials, and social science experiments, but valid statistical inference on their performance remains an open challenge.

By Samya Praharaj, Chih-Yu Chang, Koulik Khamaru, Kelly W. Zhang
arXiv AI
Jun 9

Bandits for Efficient Experimentation: Adapting to Control Group, Preferences, and Context Drifts

arXiv:2606. 09802v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We consider a variant of the linear contextual stochastic multi-armed bandits, where the learner must provide recommendations to a group of users, each having its personalized preference vector, and in the presence of context distributions that are drifting over time.

By Udvas Das, Waris Radji, Debabrota Basu, Odalric-Ambrym Maillard