The paper investigates whether the stable GAN architecture R3GAN can improve time‑series imputation when adapted to 1‑D temporal data. Using a coarse‑to‑fine refinement framework and a frequency‑domain discriminator, the authors evaluate 14 saved configurations across three datasets and find a negative result: most configurations either show negligible improvement or degrade performance compared to baseline methods. The study highlights that the usual argument—GANs optimize distributional objectives rather than point‑wise ones—does not fully explain the lack of benefit, and it poses an open problem regarding why a learned discriminator fails to provide useful refinement gradients while diffusion denoisers succeed, offering practical guidance on when adversarial refinement may be worthwhile.
By Yufeng He
arXiv:2608. 10096v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Modern data science increasingly gives rise to hypothesis-testing problems that are not naturally formulated in terms of parameters within prespecified statistical models.
By Hyunjoo Kim, Sicheng Wu, Agastya Venkatraman, Guang Lin, Sehwan Kim
arXiv:2607. 21636v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Synthetic tabular data is valued for preserving not only each column's marginal distribution but the dependencies between columns -- structure that carries much of the discriminative signal for minority classes in imbalanced domains such as fraud and clinical risk.
By Jie Zhang
arXiv:2607. 05806v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Training data for machine learning is routinely collected by a selection process the model never sees: loans are observed only when granted, outcomes only when a test was ordered.
By Gunner Levi Howe
arXiv:2609.24559v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: We present $t_0$, a family of open-weights foundation models for forecasting with multivariate context. We release its first two members: $\texttt{t0-a...
By Lucas Meyer, Claudio Sole, Huikan Xiang, Nicolas Li, Lucas Franceschino, Arnau Quera-Bofarull, Maarten P. Scholl, Joachim Fainberg, Geoffrey N\'egiar
arXiv:2604. 23904v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Synthetic tabular data are often evaluated by distributional similarity, privacy distance, or train-on-synthetic-test-on-real predictive performance, but these criteria do not ensure validity for causal inference.
By Yichen Xu
arXiv:2607. 23721v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Distributional random forests replace mean-based CART splitting with criteria that compare the full conditional response distribution in candidate children.
By Silas Koemen
arXiv:2607. 00958v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series are central to modern data mining applications, from industrial telemetry and server metrics to finance and physiology, yet time-series self-supervised learning often depends on view and augmentation choices that encode domain-specific invariances.
By Alexander Chemeris, Ming Jin, Randall Balestriero
The paper introduces a regime‑diagnosis framework for industrial time‑series forecasting, highlighting that canonical loss functions embed fixed statistical priors that are violated in real‑world demand regimes such as zero‑inflation, skewness, and high variability. It proposes the Regime‑wise Relative Bias Vector (RBV) as a metric‑agnostic diagnostic that decomposes bias into an intrinsic floor and an excess attributable to training. A large‑scale study across 13 loss objectives and 60,000+ series demonstrates that regime‑aware diagnosis distinguishes optimization‑from‑bias failures and that regime‑aware training can eliminate pooling‑induced bias that mere capacity scaling cannot.
By Pengyu Nie, Chenglang Xu, Yaoshi Chen, Chaogan Ren, Wei Hu, Chao Yang, Jiangong Zhang
arXiv:2609.23701v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Probabilistic forecasting requires accurate central predictions and calibrated uncertainty estimates. This paper presents TEMPER, the Temporal Encode...
By Giancarlo Vercellino
arXiv:2508. 01725v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recent advances in continuous conditional generative modeling, including Continuous conditional Generative Adversarial Network (CcGAN) and Continuous Conditional Diffusion Model (CCDM), estimate high-dimensional data distributions conditioned on scalar regression labels such as angles, ages, or temperatures.
By Xin Ding, Yun Chen, Yongwei Wang, Kao Zhang, Sen Zhang, Peibei Cao, Xiangxue Wang
The paper investigates when post‑training quantization (PTQ) calibration helps or hurts text embedders, focusing on the amount of calibration (dose) and whether to calibrate at all. Across three models and 161 calibration runs at 4‑bit weight quantization, the effect ranges from significant gains to catastrophic degradation, driven mainly by the functional displacement of the quantized model. A validation‑gated abstention rule is proposed that avoids harmful calibrations while capturing most benefits, highlighting the trade‑off between safety and opportunity.
By Hyojung Han, Ryangkyung Kang, Youngeun Kim, Seung-Hun Jeon