arXiv Machine Learning

On design-unbiased algorithmic Machine Learning

arXiv:2606. 28795v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Machine Learning (ML) algorithms, such as k-Nearest Neighbours (kNN) or random forest, eschew the ideal of true data models in favour of predictive performance.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 26

Learning from a Biased Sample

arXiv:2209. 01754v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The empirical risk minimization approach to data-driven decision making requires access to training data drawn under the same conditions as those that will be faced when the decision rule is deployed.

By Roshni Sahoo, Lihua Lei, Stefan Wager
arXiv AI
Jul 7

When Does Small Data Work? Accuracy and Efficiency Trade-offs Between Tabular Foundation Models and Conventional Methods for Crowd-State Classification at Hajj and Umrah

arXiv:2607. 04013v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Learning from few labeled examples is a central challenge in tabular machine learning, and it becomes the binding constraint in domains where labeling is costly, such as crowd monitoring during Hajj and Umrah.

By AlJawharh S. AlOtaibi, Mohamed Eltahir, Jude AlSubaie
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 16

Observational Multiplicity

The paper introduces the concept of observational multiplicity, where multiple probabilistic classifiers can perform similarly yet produce conflicting predictions, undermining interpretability and safety. It proposes measuring this arbitrariness through a regret metric that captures how predictions could shift with different training labels. The authors present a general method to estimate regret, show it varies across dataset groups, and discuss its use for safety via abstention and targeted data collection.

By Erin George, Deanna Needell, Berk Ustun