arXiv:2504. 19952v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We present two general lower bounds for stopping times of sequential tests between arbitrary composite nulls $\mathcal P$ and alternatives $\mathcal Q$.
By Shubhada Agrawal, Ashwin Ram, Aaditya Ramdas
arXiv:2602. 13848v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We propose a sequential test for detecting arbitrary distribution shifts that allows conformal test martingales (CTMs) to work under a fixed, reference-conditional setting.
By Shalev Shaer, Yarin Bar, Drew Prinster, Yaniv Romano
arXiv:2606. 30338v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: External evaluations are becoming increasingly central to the governance of AI systems.
By Ioannis Pitsiorlas, Martha V. Sourla, Marios Kountouris
arXiv:2603. 17925v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We consider a variant of sequential testing by betting where, at each time step, the statistician is presented with multiple data sources (arms) and obtains data by choosing one of the arms.
By Ricardo J. Sandoval, Ian Waudby-Smith, Michael I. Jordan
arXiv:2607. 11653v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Black-box conditional quantile forecasts are widely used for sequential decisions under asymmetric costs, such as inventory planning in supply chain management.
By Ivane Antonov, Sohom Mukherjee, Richard Pibernik, Yo Joong Choe
arXiv:2606. 20859v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A fundamental assumption in statistics and machine learning is that ``the future looks like the past,'' formalized as exchangeability: the joint data distribution is order-invariant.
By Johan Hallberg Szabadv\'ary
arXiv:2606. 15237v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Ensemble classifiers are predictive models that combine the results of simpler base models, often by majority vote.
By Joseph Kalman, Amit Moscovich
arXiv:2505. 04608v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Responsibly deploying artificial intelligence (AI) / machine learning (ML) systems in high-stakes settings arguably requires not only proof of system reliability, but also continual, post-deployment monitoring to quickly detect and address any unsafe behavior.
By Drew Prinster, Xing Han, Anqi Liu, Suchi Saria
arXiv:2608. 09450v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Betting-based sequential tests and Blackwell approachability are linked by a rate-explicit reduction through support-function residuals.
By Jinze Zhao
arXiv:2607. 13048v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Streaming inference pipelines increasingly pair lightweight fast models with Large Language Models (LLMs) that provide rich semantic understanding at substantial cost.
By Zhaohui Wang
arXiv:2608. 06362v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deciding which of two agents is stronger means playing games until skill outweighs luck, and every game costs money, model inference, or expert time.
By Boning Li, Yu Chen, Longbo Huang
arXiv:2607. 03991v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Repeated LLM calls are the standard way to estimate how trustworthy a Text-to-SQL result is: run the pipeline multiple times, judge each SQL execution, and use the consistency of the verdicts as a confidence signal.
By Yaron Anavi, Mor Aisenberg, Nadav Nesher, Elena Khabibullina, Isabella Cattinelli