arXiv:2602. 13848v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We propose a sequential test for detecting arbitrary distribution shifts that allows conformal test martingales (CTMs) to work under a fixed, reference-conditional setting.
By Shalev Shaer, Yarin Bar, Drew Prinster, Yaniv Romano
arXiv:2608. 14089v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Safety classifiers deployed with large language models often fail for two reasons: their decisions reflect the policy learned during training rather than the deployer's desired policy, and their performance degrades as deployment traffic evolves.
By Thiago Sandoval, Ufuk Topcu
arXiv:2606. 20859v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A fundamental assumption in statistics and machine learning is that ``the future looks like the past,'' formalized as exchangeability: the joint data distribution is order-invariant.
By Johan Hallberg Szabadv\'ary
arXiv:2606. 01256v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This paper introduces a distribution-free framework for constructing post-detection confidence sets for changepoints after stopping a sequential change detection procedure.
By Aytijhya Saha, Aaditya Ramdas
arXiv:2606. 11949v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We present an online monitoring system for distributional shift in deployed safety classifiers, using calibrated sequential statistics to detect when a classifier has moved out of distribution.
By Jun Wen Leong
arXiv:2511. 04275v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal prediction has emerged as a powerful framework for constructing distribution-free prediction sets with guaranteed coverage assuming only the exchangeability assumption.
By Jungbin Jun, Ilsang Ohn