arXiv:2606. 05797v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Longitudinal treatment decisions require predicting potential outcomes under future treatment sequences in the presence of time-varying confounding, heterogeneous patient dynamics, and limited domain-specific data.
By Amirhossein Zare, Amirhessam Zare, Herlock Rahimi, Reza Salarikia, Mohammad Kashkooli
arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.
By Amrijit Biswas, Mustafa Kamal, Robin Krambroeckers, M. M. Lutfe Elahi, Sifat Momen, Nabeel Mohammed, Shafin Rahman
arXiv:2606. 25197v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Learning effective policies for adaptive data acquisition remains challenging: posterior-based methods rely on surrogate models and posterior approximations that can be misspecified or biased, while direct policy-learning methods map from historical observations and fail to exploit available model representations, making learning harder.
By Daolang Huang, Zhuoyue Huang, Conor Hassan, Luigi Acerbi, Samuel Kaski, Tom Rainforth
arXiv:2608. 01352v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Estimating causal effects from real-world spatiotemporal data is challenging due to hidden confounders and interference.
By Omar Faruque, Pavan Raj Ravi, Jianwu Wang
arXiv:2606. 18049v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Decision-making with deep learning-based time series forecasting requires not only accurate predictions but also actionable insights.
By Jan Voets, Hasan Tercan, Tobias Meisen, Sebastian Baum
arXiv:2605. 15133v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal inference, estimating causal effects from observational data, is a fundamental tool in many disciplines.
By Christopher Stith, Medha Barath, Vahid Balazadeh, Jesse C. Cresswell, Rahul G. Krishnan
arXiv:2603. 19186v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for estimating treatment effects, yet they are often underpowered for detecting effect heterogeneity.
By Amir Asiaee, Samhita Pal
arXiv:2606. 07399v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Generative models for counterfactual outcomes have great potential to support decision-making under complex interventions, but existing approaches are limited by unstable estimation, poor generalization across environments, and bias from nuisance model misspecification.
By Raphael C Kim, Jingsen Zhu, Ramin Zabih, Michele Santacatterina
arXiv:2502. 18975v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Machine learning models are inherently bound to the distribution of the training data, often exploiting non-causal shortcuts.
By Martin Surner, Abdelmajid Khelil, Ludwig Bothmann
Decision-making with deep learning-based time series forecasting requires not only accurate predictions but also actionable insights. However, current architectures do not inherently provide such information.
arXiv:2604. 23107v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Causal effect estimation from observational data requires careful adjustment for confounding.
By Lei Wang, Debashis Ghosh
arXiv:2608. 05930v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The experience sampling method (ESM) is a longitudinal research design where participants report their thoughts, emotional states and behaviours multiple times a day.
By Nina van Gerwen, Dimitris Rizopoulos, Manon Hillegers, Loes Keijsers, Sten Willemsen