arXiv AI

Diagnose, Recover, Certify: Task Readiness under Hidden Dynamics Changes

The paper introduces a framework for diagnosing and recovering from hidden dynamics changes in deployed control policies, focusing on the problem of task readiness under dormant dynamics drift. It proposes an intervention-based Bayesian method called Evidence‑Gated Matched‑Pulse Transport that localizes faults and estimates actuator effectiveness, enabling agents to certify readiness for future tasks with limited, task‑agnostic interactions. The approach is evaluated on diverse benchmarks, measuring readiness coverage, selective risk, interaction cost, and return, and identifies regimes where transported evidence is decisive.

arXiv Machine Learning
3d ago

Complex Problem Solving in Large Language Models: A Statistical Control Survey and Diagnostic Framework

arXiv:2609.20973v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Complex problem solving (CPS) with large language models (LLMs) is often framed as a matter of stronger reasoning or longer generation. Yet early-ste...

By Jiazhang Cai, Tao Wang, Ruidong Zhang, Siyuan Li, Terry Ma, Luyang Fang, Haoran Lu, Huimin Cheng, Yingchuan Zhang, Shushan Wu, Rui Xie, Lin Tang, Chao Huang, Rongjie Liu, Ziyu Liu, Meizhi Yu, Yongkai Chen, Yifan Zhou, Zeliang Sun, Chang Liu, Zhen Xiang, Wei Xiao, Zixin Rao, Xinyi Liu, Yutong Hu, Mengrui Zhang, Jing Zhang, Weidi Luo, Jincheng Yu, Zhengliang Liu, Weihang You, Hanqi Jiang, Yi Pan, Junhao Chen, Xinliang Li, Tianming Liu, Wenxuan Zhong, Ping Ma
arXiv AI
Aug 12

UPAIR: Diagnosing Reasoning States via Uncertainty-Progress Alignment for Selective Intervention

arXiv:2607. 17188v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While test-time scaling improves the problem-solving ability of large reasoning models (LRMs) through additional inference-time computation, it can also exacerbate overthinking and underthinking, which we formulate as reasoning state--action mismatch.

By Cheng Yan, Zhijun Fan, Guangyang Ye, Fan Xu, Xiang Xia, Yawei Wang, Wuyang Zhang
arXiv AI
Aug 24

Beyond End-to-End Success: Diagnosing Failures in Long-Horizon Security LLM Agents

The paper introduces a diagnostic framework for long‑horizon security LLM agents that uses checkpoints to distinguish failures occurring before and after a model’s capability is exposed, and applies controlled interventions to pinpoint upstream bottlenecks. The methodology is tested on four task families—delayed reuse of discovered information, reuse of observed state, recovery from failed strategies, and decision making after uncertain outcomes—revealing that many failures happen before the agent observes the state it later needs to reuse. Experiments with Gemini 2.5 Flash and Gemini 3.7 Flash show that targeted protocol‑disambiguation guidance can significantly alter state observation rates and that the primary source of failure can shift across model generations, underscoring the need for fine‑grained failure diagnostics rather than relying solely on overall task success.

By Wei Shao, Chongzhou Fang, Zuxiong Tan, Zequan Liang, Setareh Rafatirad, Avesta Sasan, Houman Homayoun
arXiv AI
Sep 4

ObserverBench: Testing Mechanistic Estimates for Intervention and Control

ObserverBench is a benchmark framework that evaluates whether internal mechanistic estimators—called observers—are suitable for guiding interventions, control, or safety actions in language models. It separates estimation accuracy from the loss incurred by the chosen action, showing that accurate predictions do not always lead to better decisions. Experiments on GPT‑2‑small, Qwen2.5‑7B, Gemma‑2‑9B‑it, and Qwen3.5‑9B demonstrate that observers trained on action loss can reduce deployment loss, while traditional metrics like AUROC may rank monitors differently from actual performance.

By Vijay Erramilli
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Sep 2

ObserverBench: Testing Mechanistic Estimates for Intervention and Control

ObserverBench is a benchmark framework that evaluates whether internal mechanistic estimators—called observers—are suitable for guiding interventions, control, or safety actions in language models. It separates estimation accuracy from the loss incurred by the chosen action, demonstrating that accurate average estimates can still lead to poor decisions. Experiments on GPT‑2‑small, Qwen2.5‑7B, Gemma‑2‑9B‑it, and Qwen3.5‑9B show that observers trained on action loss tend to select lower‑loss actions, while traditional metrics like AUROC can rank monitors differently from deployment loss, highlighting the need for task‑specific evaluation.

arXiv Machine Learning
6d ago

CARE-VI: Conservative Adaptive Reliability Estimation for Value Improvement in Off-Policy Actor-Critic Learning

CARE‑VI introduces a framework for improving value targets in off‑policy actor‑critic learning by combining Conservative Adaptive Ranking and Screening (CARS), Selector‑Evaluator Value Assessment (SEVA), and Dynamic Adaptive Risk‑aware Enhancement (DARE). CARS limits candidate actions to a budgeted prefix and expands it only when uncertainty exceeds a threshold; SEVA orders candidates with selector critics and reviews their values with an evaluator critic, capping the value at the selector reference; DARE adjusts residual corrections based on candidate reliability and signal gaps. Theoretical analysis bounds errors in each component, and empirical tests on SAC, TD3, and TD7 across four MuJoCo tasks show CARE‑VI consistently outperforms baselines in mean return.

By Xiang Zou, Shengzhu Shi, Junqi Gao, Zhichang Guo