arXiv:2606. 26497v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Bayesian filtering of partially and noisily observed dynamical systems seeks to infer the evolving conditional distribution of the state of a dynamical system, given observations, in an online fashion.
arXiv:2605. 29072v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate estimation and forecasting of energy consumption are important for power-system operation, planning, and demand-side management.
arXiv:2605. 29072v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate estimation and forecasting of energy consumption are important for power-system operation, planning, and demand-side management.
Data assimilation estimates the state of a dynamical system from model forecasts and incoming observations. Many observation mechanisms, however, are many-to-one, implicit, non-smooth, or accessible only through simulation, and need not provide the residual structures or likelihood guidance required by existing ensemble filters.
arXiv:2607. 12975v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Data assimilation estimates the state of a dynamical system from model forecasts and incoming observations.
arXiv:2607. 01012v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Data assimilation models state dynamics conditioned on sequential observations, and has wide-ranging scientific applications.
arXiv:2508. 13313v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Data assimilation (DA) estimates a dynamical system's state from noisy observations.
arXiv:2602. 23461v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Data assimilation (DA) for compressible flows with shocks is challenging because many classical DA methods generate spurious oscillations and nonphysical features near uncertain shocks.
arXiv:2607. 20521v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The state of a dynamic system evolves over time, switching among several latent modes that govern its observable behavior.
arXiv:2605. 14285v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Data assimilation (DA) estimates the state of an evolving dynamical system from noisy, partial observations, and is widely used in scientific simulation as well as weather and climate science.
arXiv:2607. 00196v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Many scientific systems exhibit uncertainty from stochastic forcing, unresolved degrees of freedom, or imperfect observations, making reliable surrogate forecasting fundamentally distributional rather than pointwise.
arXiv:2606. 01468v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Due to their explicit priors and ability to model uncertainty, Bayesian methods have played a major role in dynamical latent variable modeling of single-cell neural recordings.
arXiv:2605. 07565v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study Bayesian Optimisation (BO) in settings where the objective function is influenced by uncontrollable environmental contexts governed by an unknown probability distribution.