arXiv Machine Learning

Diffusion Model-Based Data Assimilation for Real-World Energy Consumption Forecasting

arXiv:2605. 29072v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate estimation and forecasting of energy consumption are important for power-system operation, planning, and demand-side management.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

ForcingDAS: Unified and Robust Data Assimilation via Diffusion Forcing

arXiv:2605. 14285v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Data assimilation (DA) estimates the state of an evolving dynamical system from noisy, partial observations, and is widely used in scientific simulation as well as weather and climate science.

By Yixuan Jia, Siyi Chen, Yida Pan, Xiao Li, Lianghe Shi, Chanyong Jung, Haijie Yuan, Ismail Alkhouri, Yue Cynthia Wu, Saiprasad Ravishankar, Jeffrey A Fessler, Qing Qu
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 18

RNN(p) for Power Consumption Forecasting

arXiv:2209. 01378v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: An elementary Recurrent Neural Network that operates on p time lags, called an RNN(p), is the natural generalisation of a linear autoregressive model ARX(p).

By Roberto Baviera, Pietro Manzoni
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 26

Huracan: A skillful end-to-end data-driven system for ensemble data assimilation and weather prediction

arXiv:2508. 18486v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Over the past few years, machine learning-based data-driven weather prediction has been transforming operational weather forecasting by providing more accurate forecasts while using a mere fraction of computing power compared to traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP).

By Zekun Ni, Jonathan Weyn, Hang Zhang, Yanfei Xiang, Jiang Bian, Weixin Jin, Kit Thambiratnam, Qi Zhang, Haiyu Dong, Hongyu Sun
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 14

Robustness of Deep Learning Models for PV Power Forecasting under NWP Forecast Errors: A Spatiotemporal and Physically Interpretable Analysis

Engineering use of AI forecasting models requires not only high nominal accuracy but also predictable behavior under uncertain inputs. In photovoltaic (PV) forecasting, this requirement is especially challenging because numerical weather prediction (NWP) errors are temporally correlated, state dependent, and physically coupled across variables.