arXiv Machine Learning

DRAN: A Distribution and Relation Adaptive Network for Spatio-temporal Forecasting

arXiv:2504. 01531v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate predictions of spatio-temporal systems are crucial for tasks such as system management, control, and crisis prevention.

arXiv Machine Learning
5d ago

More Sensors Only One Field: Rethinking Continual Spatio-Temporal Forecasting

The paper introduces STFO (Spatio-Temporal Field Operator), a method for continual spatio‑temporal forecasting that decouples forecasting representations from specific sensor layouts. By normalizing coordinate‑based aggregation onto a fixed latent grid and using a spectral descriptor to adapt to process drift, STFO can reuse learned spatial maps across varying sensor configurations. Experiments on PEMS‑Stream, CA‑Stream, and AIR‑Stream show that STFO‑Large improves average MAE by 8.4% over DOL on PEMS‑Stream and 4.7% on CA‑Stream.

By Lewei Xie, Haoyu Zhang, Jiajun Zhou, Yulong Chen, Guanxing Chen, Yu-An Huang, Hau-San Wong, Yifan Zhang, Zhi-An Huang
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 16

AsyncCouple-Flow: Asynchronous Cross-Modal Coupling and Flow Matching for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting

AsyncCouple-Flow introduces a new framework for multi‑modal spatio‑temporal forecasting that tackles three key challenges: differing sampling rates, missing modalities, and autoregressive error accumulation. It employs a Modality‑Aware Token Sparsification module to produce equal‑length sequences, an Asynchronous Cross‑Modal Coupling Graph to fuse data under arbitrary asynchrony and missingness, and a Flow‑Matching Forecasting Head that models multi‑step prediction as a conditional ODE. Experiments on weather and traffic datasets demonstrate that the method outperforms state‑of‑the‑art baselines and remains robust even when up to two modalities are missing.

By Zhixiang Wu, Yining Liu, Bo Zhao, Szu-Yu Chen, Huiran Duan, Chu Lin, Chuanguang Yang
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 11

A Dynamic Fusion Large Language Model for Traffic Flow Prediction

The paper introduces DF-LLM, a Dynamic Fusion Large Language Model designed for traffic flow prediction. It combines a spatiotemporal embedding module, a fusion module that uses graph convolution to capture spatial topology and dynamic dependencies, and an LLM backbone with differentiated parameter adaptation and context aggregation attention. Experiments on four datasets demonstrate that DF-LLM outperforms existing methods in predictive accuracy.

By Xue Qiu, Jianli Xiao
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 27

Modeling spatio-temporal locality in multi-step forecasting of geo-referenced time series

The paper introduces SPALT, a method that models spatio‑temporal locality for multi‑step forecasting of geo‑referenced time series. SPALT uses linear model trees to group series with similar trends, injecting spatial features locally, and employs a Reduced Error Pruning strategy that respects spatio‑temporal locality. Experiments on three real‑world renewable‑energy datasets show SPALT outperforms both tree‑based models and state‑of‑the‑art neural networks in forecasting energy production at multiple horizons.

By Annunziata D'Aversa, Gianvito Pio, Michelangelo Ceci
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Sep 10

A Dynamic Fusion Large Language Model for Traffic Flow Prediction

The paper introduces DF-LLM, a Dynamic Fusion Large Language Model designed for traffic flow prediction. It combines a spatiotemporal embedding module, a fusion module that uses graph convolution to capture spatial topology and dynamic dependencies, and an LLM backbone with differentiated parameter adaptation and context aggregation attention. Experiments on four datasets show that DF-LLM outperforms existing methods in predictive accuracy.