arXiv Machine Learning

ShapeLex: Decoupling Local Shape Symbolization and Global Scale Modeling for Text-Controlled Time Series Generation

ShapeLex introduces a two-stage approach for text-controlled time series generation. It first creates a reusable vocabulary of discrete shape units—such as rises, spikes, and sharp drops—derived from training data, then uses an autoregressive generator to select and arrange these shapes based on textual input while adjusting their position and duration. Finally, a mixture-density scale head models global attributes like level and volatility to produce realistic time series that align closely with real data distributions.

arXiv AI
Aug 25

NeST: Neighborhood-aware semantic alignment and temporal modulation for LLM based time series forecasting

NeST is a framework that adapts large language models (LLMs) for continuous time‑series forecasting by creating neighborhood‑aware text prototypes and aligning them with temporal representations through a nearest‑neighbor contrastive objective. It retrieves the most relevant prototypes and uses them to conditionally modulate time‑series features, enabling more effective integration of textual and temporal information. Experiments show that NeST outperforms state‑of‑the‑art methods on eight benchmarks, reduces MSE by 1.2% for long‑term forecasting, improves zero‑shot forecasting by 4.9%, and boosts R² by 3.3% on a real‑world photovoltaic power forecasting task.

By Jayanie Bogahawatte, Sachith Seneviratne, Maneesha Perera, Saman Halgamuge
arXiv AI
Aug 18

Adapting LLMs to Time Series Forecasting via Temporal Heterogeneity Modeling and Representation Alignment

arXiv:2508. 07195v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances have demonstrated that Large Language Models (LLMs) can be effectively adapted for time series forecasting, revealing strong potential beyond natural language tasks.

By Yanru Sun, Emadeldeen Eldele, Zongxia Xie, Yucheng Wang, Wenzhe Niu, Qinghua Hu, Chee Keong Kwoh, Min Wu
arXiv AI
Jun 18

From Values to Tokens: An LLM-Driven Framework for Context-aware Time Series Forecasting via Symbolic Discretization

arXiv:2508. 09191v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series forecasting plays a vital role in supporting decision-making across a wide range of critical applications, including energy, healthcare, and finance.

By Xiaoyu Tao, Shilong Zhang, Mingyue Cheng, Daoyu Wang, Tingyue Pan, Bokai Pan, Changqing Zhang, Shijin Wang
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 28

SAGE: Variate-Wise Semantic Augmentation for Vision-Language Time Series Forecasting

SAGE is a CLIP-based framework that augments vision‑language time series forecasting by incorporating variable‑specific semantic and statistical information. It processes frequency‑enhanced patches and variable tokens through a CLIP text encoder, while a frozen CLIP vision encoder aligns rendered series with temporal representations via a contrastive objective. The approach achieves state‑of‑the‑art accuracy on eight long‑term benchmarks and M4, with ablations showing complementary gains from multimodal alignment and variable‑level knowledge.

By Haizhao Fan, Xinyi Le
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 27

SAGE: Variate-Wise Semantic Augmentation for Vision-Language Time Series Forecasting

SAGE is an end‑to‑end CLIP‑based framework that augments vision‑language time‑series forecasting by jointly modeling temporal, cross‑variable, textual, and visual information. It processes frequency‑enhanced patches and variable tokens through a CLIP text encoder, while gated residual paths inject variable‑specific descriptions and statistical descriptors. A frozen CLIP vision encoder aligns rendered series with temporal representations via a training‑only contrastive objective, enabling multimodal alignment and variable‑level knowledge without using an LLM during inference.

arXiv AI
Jul 17

Latent Trajectory Discrimination for AI-Generated Text Detection

arXiv:2607. 14967v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Most existing approaches to AI-Generated Text Detection (AIGTD) treat documents as static objects and base their decisions on aggregate statistics or globally compressed embeddings.

By Gianluca Bonifazi, Christopher Buratti, Michele Marchetti, Federica Parlapiano, Giulia Quaglieri, Davide Traini, Domenico Ursino, Luca Virgili
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 27

NVExplain: Explaining Time Series Forecasting with Latent Trajectory Analysis and Structure-Preserving Surrogates

NVExplain is a model‑agnostic framework that explains time‑series forecasting by attributing each forecast horizon to temporally relevant historical lags. It models forecasting as a latent trajectory, introduces semantic flow to track information evolution, and aggregates this into a lag‑horizon attribution matrix. The method also generates structure‑preserving perturbations and fits sparse local surrogates to produce human‑readable, temporally coherent explanations, and demonstrates competitive faithfulness and stability across benchmark datasets.

By Muyan Anna Li, Manikandan Ravikiran, Aditi Gautam