arXiv Machine Learning

fev-bench: A Realistic Benchmark for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2509. 26468v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Benchmark quality is critical for meaningful evaluation and sustained progress in time series forecasting, particularly with the rise of pretrained models.

arXiv AI
Aug 10

Seeking SOTA: Time-Series Forecasting Must Adopt Taxonomy-Specific Evaluation to Dispel Illusory Gains

arXiv:2603. 15506v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We argue that the current practice of evaluating AI/ML time-series forecasting models, predominantly on benchmarks characterized by strong, persistent periodicities and seasonalities, obscures real progress by overlooking the performance of efficient classical methods.

By Raeid Saqur, Christoph Bergmeir, Blanka Horvath, Daniel Schmidt, Frank Rudzicz, Terry Lyons
arXiv AI
Aug 5

FinVerse: Financial Time-Series Benchmark

arXiv:2608. 03259v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As time-series foundation models have emerged, the need for benchmarks that can evaluate their forecasting ability in meaningful ways has become increasingly important.

By Jaehoon Lee, Jun Seo, Seunghan Lee, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Minjae Kim, Sungdong Yoo, Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Soonyoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 4

Stationarity-Aware Retrieval-Augmented Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 04135v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting relies on historical patterns, but real-world series often exhibit non-stationarity and regime shifts that challenge fully parametric forecasters.

By Shiqiao Zhou, Holger Sch\"oner, Zipeng Wu, Edouard Fouch\'e, IAG Wilson, Shuo Wang