arXiv:2608. 16098v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multivariate time-series forecasting faces a structural dilemma: sharing one temporal predictor across variables is parameter-efficient but forces heterogeneous variables through an identical history-to-future map, whereas learning an independent predictor per variable restores flexibility at a cost that grows with the product of variable count, context length, and horizon.
By Xiachong Lin, Du Yin, Hao Xue, Wen Hu, Imran Razzak, Arian Prabowo, Matthew Amos, Flora D. Salim
arXiv:2605. 19805v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Irregular multivariate time series impose a trade-off for long-horizon forecasting: discrete methods can distort temporal structure via re-gridding, while continuous-time models often require sequential solvers prone to drift.
By Zinuo You, Jin Zheng, John Cartlidge
arXiv:2602. 21693v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Multimodal time series forecasting has garnered significant attention for its potential to provide more accurate predictions than traditional single-modality models by leveraging rich information inherent in other modalities.
By Jiafeng Lin, Yuxuan Wang, Huakun Luo, Jianmin Wang, Zhongyi Pei
arXiv:2607. 06607v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate long-term forecasting in complex systems is frequently compromised by dataset-level distribution shifts, where diverse underlying behavioral modes and evolving system states drive the dynamic multivariate time-series.
By Lanhao Li, Bingshu Xie, Lijun Sun, Xin Xue, Haoyi Zhou, Jianxin Li
arXiv:2606. 03184v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Financial forecasting is difficult due to low signal-to-noise ratios, latent factors, heavy tails, regime shifts, and jumps.
By Jiaze Sun, Kelvin J. L. Koa, Ruiyang Ni, Yize Liu, Haonan Chen, Ke-Wei Huang
arXiv:2606. 28553v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In many real-world applications, such as retail sales, energy usage, and supply chain planning, forecasting is performed across hierarchical structures.
By Ruchi Pakhle
arXiv:2608. 14054v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting with pretrained foundation models has demonstrated strong zero-shot capabilities.
By Juan Pablo Villa Serna, Rohan Asthana, Vasileios Belagiannis
Deep learning methods have achieved state-of-the-art in time series forecasting, yet their accuracy varies considerably across samples, as some instances remain inherently difficult to predict. Reject option mechanisms, which allow models to abstain from high-risk predictions, are well established in classification and regression but underexplored in forecasting.
arXiv:2607. 19659v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time-series foundation models can forecast across heterogeneous domains without task-specific training, but their forecasts are fixed once produced and cannot directly incorporate task-specific expert feedback.
By Hung Le, Minh Hoang Nguyen, Manh Nguyen, Huu Hiep Nguyen, Dai Do
arXiv:2605. 00015v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have demonstrated strong generalization capability and data efficiency in time series forecasting through large-scale pretraining.
By Siyang Li, Yize Chen, Zijie Zhu, Yuxin Pan, Yan Guo, Ming Huang, Hui Xiong
arXiv:2606. 25439v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep learning-based models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in Time Series Forecasting (TSF), yet their evaluation remains dominated by pointwise error metrics such as Mean Squared Error (MSE), which quantify numerical accuracy but overlook structural properties of the forecast signal, including recurrent dynamics, oscillatory behavior, and phase alignment.
By Sandeepa Weerasekara, Sandareka Wickramanayake
arXiv:2608. 08675v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-term time series forecasting benefits from preserving global structure such as trends and seasonality.
By Xuan-May Le, Minh-Tuan Tran, Ling Luo, Uwe Aickelin, Dinh Phung, Trung Le