arXiv Machine Learning

Estimate Collapsibility of Causal Effects in Completed Partial DAGs via Strong d-Convex Hulls

arXiv:2606. 08941v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This paper proposes a collapsible method for estimating causal effects that maintains the estimator's consistency before and after marginalization over some variables in completed partially directed acyclic graphs (CPDAGs).

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

Decoupled Causal Discovery

arXiv:2609.23535v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal discovery from observational data is a fundamental yet challenging task in scientific research. While existing approaches are primarily based on...

By Zhengkang Guan, Fei Wu, Kun Kuang
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 18

Epidemiological Causal Graph Identification: Challenges, Identifiability and Algorithms

The paper addresses causal discovery in Directed Acyclic Graphs where nodes are either ordinal (modeled with an ordered logit) or follow a one‑parameter exponential family distribution. It proves that the direction of edges between such nodes is identifiable for generic parameter values, extending prior Ordinal‑Poisson results. The authors also propose a score‑based exhaustive search and a masked continuous optimization method using DAGMA, and demonstrate through simulations that these approaches recover orientations that are otherwise unidentifiable under classical structural equation models.

By Sambit Mishra, Yingying Wang, Christine K. Johnson, Urbashi Mitra
arXiv AI
Aug 26

Partial Identification under Causal Orders by Linear Programming

The paper presents a method for partially identifying counterfactual queries without requiring a fully specified causal graph. By exploiting the topological ordering implied by the query itself, the authors transform the identification problem into a linear programming task, enabling bounds on arbitrary counterfactual and nested counterfactual queries. They demonstrate the tightness of these bounds and illustrate the approach on several case studies, showing its usefulness even when causal knowledge is incomplete.

By Eric Rossetto, Alessandro Antonucci
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 18

Clustering and Pruning in Causal Data Fusion

arXiv:2505. 15215v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Data fusion, the process of combining observational and experimental data, can enable the identification of causal effects that would otherwise remain non-identifiable.

By Otto Tabell, Santtu Tikka, Juha Karvanen