arXiv AI

Beyond Additivity: Causal Discovery in Location-Scale Noise Models with Hidden Variables

arXiv:2606. 08196v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study causal discovery from observational data when some variables are hidden and the data-generating process follows a location-scale noise model (LSNM).

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

Decoupled Causal Discovery

arXiv:2609.23535v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal discovery from observational data is a fundamental yet challenging task in scientific research. While existing approaches are primarily based on...

By Zhengkang Guan, Fei Wu, Kun Kuang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 19

Unsupervised Causal Abstractions Discovery

arXiv:2606. 19594v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal abstractions formalize when a high-level structural causal model (SCM) captures the interventional behavior of a lower-level SCM.

By Th\'eo Saulus, Simon Lacoste-Julien, Dhanya Sridhar
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 18

Epidemiological Causal Graph Identification: Challenges, Identifiability and Algorithms

The paper addresses causal discovery in Directed Acyclic Graphs where nodes are either ordinal (modeled with an ordered logit) or follow a one‑parameter exponential family distribution. It proves that the direction of edges between such nodes is identifiable for generic parameter values, extending prior Ordinal‑Poisson results. The authors also propose a score‑based exhaustive search and a masked continuous optimization method using DAGMA, and demonstrate through simulations that these approaches recover orientations that are otherwise unidentifiable under classical structural equation models.

By Sambit Mishra, Yingying Wang, Christine K. Johnson, Urbashi Mitra
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 11

CausalArena: Benchmarking Causal Discovery in the Foundation Model Era

CausalArena is a new benchmark designed to evaluate causal discovery methods in the era of foundation models. It unifies synthetic structural causal models (SCMs), semantically grounded SCMs, and formula‑grounded SCMs, while also including real‑world datasets for external validation. Experiments show that performance rankings vary widely across different SCM families and protocols, indicating that strong results on one benchmark do not necessarily transfer to others.

By Zi-Rong Li, Si-Yang Liu, Tian-Zuo Wang, Han-Jia Ye
arXiv AI
Sep 7

Beyond Stationarity in Time Series: Discovering Causal Structures and Latent Regimes via Markov Blankets

The paper presents RCBNB-MB, a causal discovery algorithm that relaxes the assumption of a single, time‑consistent causal structure in time series. It identifies latent causal regimes—subsets of time points where a stable causal graph holds—and iteratively segments the series to recover both regime transitions and the corresponding causal graphs using Markov blankets. The authors provide theoretical guarantees and demonstrate through simulations and real IT monitoring data that RCBNB-MB outperforms baseline methods in detecting regime changes and their causal structures.

By Lei Zan, Charles K. Assaad, Emilie Devijver, Eric Gaussier