arXiv Machine Learning

Predicting Symptoms of Amotivation and Anhedonia among University Students with a Novel Oversampling Method

The paper introduces a new oversampling technique that uses a predictive model to generate nominal variables instead of interpolating them, addressing a key limitation of SMOTE. Applied to a large GPS‑location dataset of university students, the method outperforms existing oversampling approaches in predicting high levels of amotivation and anhedonia. This improvement could help identify students with these debilitating symptoms earlier and more accurately.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 1

SMOTE-VAR: An Uncertainty-Aware Oversampling Method for Predicting Depression Remission in University Students

The paper introduces SMOTE‑VAR, an uncertainty‑aware oversampling technique that uses a Gaussian process variance function to filter out invalid synthetic minority samples. Applied to a university student depression dataset, SMOTE‑VAR outperforms existing oversampling methods in predicting remission outcomes. By more accurately identifying students unlikely to remit, the method supports earlier, personalized interventions.

By Dang Nguyen, Arun Kumar A V, Taylor A. Braund, Wu Yi Zheng, Debopriyo Bal, Leonard Hoon, Jill Newby, Helen Christensen, Svetha Venkatesh, Alexis Whitton, Sunil Gupta
arXiv AI
Jul 21

Data Balancing Strategies: A Systematic Survey of Resampling and Augmentation Methods

arXiv:2505. 13518v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Imbalanced datasets, where one class significantly outnumbers others, remain a persistent challenge in machine learning, often biasing predictions toward the majority class and degrading classifier performance.

By Behnam Yousefimehr, Mehdi Ghatee, Javad Fazli, Shervin Ghaffari, Zahra Rafei, Mohammad Amin Seifi, Sajed Tavakoli, Abolfazl Nikahd, Mahdi Razi Gandomani, Alireza Orouji, Ramtin Mahmoudi Kashani, Sarina Heshmati, Negin Sadat Mousavi
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 14

Explainable Prediction from Mobile Sensing Data through LLM-guided Concept Integration

The paper introduces a Concept-Integrated Transformer (CIT) that uses a pretrained large language model to generate concept abnormality targets with confidence weights, eliminating the need for manual concept annotation. CIT is applied to mobile sensing data from two longitudinal datasets, achieving the highest F1 score on the AFFECT dataset (0.756) and tying for the highest on a PHQ-9 dataset (0.765). The model’s learned concept scores reveal interpretable behavioral and physiological patterns, such as differences in sleep quantity and quality between high and low negative affect groups.

By Yuning Wang, Iman Azimi, Amir M. Rahmani, Pasi Liljeberg
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 9

Counterfactual Modeling with Fine-Tuned LLMs for Health Intervention Design and Sensor Data Augmentation

arXiv:2601. 14590v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Counterfactual explanations (CFEs) provide human-centric interpretability by identifying the minimal, actionable changes required to alter a machine learning model's prediction.

By Shovito Barua Soumma, Asiful Arefeen, Stephanie M. Carpenter, Melanie Hingle, Hassan Ghasemzadeh
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19

Which CS1 Students Will Fail? Identifying Digital Markers from Learning Analytics in Computer Systems and Architecture Using Weighted Academic Momentum and Interaction Logs

The study explores whether combining traditional and digital learning analytics can predict failure in a first‑year CS1 course. Using data from 284 students across four cohorts, the authors identified ten candidate factors and built a logistic regression model that achieved 74.7% accuracy and 0.742 macro F1, with 87% recall for failing students. Weighted academic momentum, basic demographics, and LMS activity emerged as the most predictive features, suggesting that simple digital markers can enable early‑warning systems by week five.

By Lighton Phiri, Mutune Chaibela, Ivy Chisha, David Pungwa, Danny Siabbaba, Bydon Simukoko