arXiv Machine Learning

Why Large Language Models Fail at Tabular Prediction

arXiv:2608. 02412v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) have become the default tool for a remarkable range of tasks, yet they have had conspicuously little success at one of the most common machine learning workloads: predictive analytics over tabular data.

arXiv AI
Sep 18

Is It Still Worth Training a Classical Model in the Era of LLMs? A Crossover Benchmark on Tabular Data

The paper investigates whether training classical machine learning models remains worthwhile when large language models (LLMs) can label tabular data without training. By defining a labeled‑data crossover point (N*) where a trained classical model surpasses a frozen LLM’s flat error, the authors analyze 126 student evaluations of GPT models across 18 datasets and compare them to power‑law learning curves of six classical model families. Results show that in 86% of cases a classical model outperforms the LLM with no more labeled data than already available, and the crossover occurs at a median of about 6% of the training set, suggesting that collecting a few hundred labels and training a gradient‑boosted model is typically advantageous.

By Kaihua Ding
arXiv AI
Jun 30

Beyond IID: How General Are Tabular Foundation Models, Really?

arXiv:2606. 30410v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Foundation models for predictive machine learning on tabular data have recently gained significant traction in academia and industry.

By Lennart Purucker, Andrej Tschalzev, Nick Erickson, Gioia Blayer, David Holzm\"uller, Alan Arazi, Alexander Pfefferle, Mustafa Tajjar, Ga\"el Varoquaux, Frank Hutter
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 7

How Much is Left? LLMs Linearly Encode Their Remaining Output Length

arXiv:2607. 05316v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models generate one token at a time, yet their responses show remarkably consistent length structure: step-by-step solutions converge in predictable token counts, retrievals stop after a few sentences, retractions extend responses by measurable amounts.

By Mohamed Amine Merzouk, Dmitri Carpov, Mirko Bronzi, Damiano Fornasiere, Adam Oberman
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 24

Support-Compiled Feature Folding: More Evidence at Lower Memory Across Tabular Foundation Models

Support-Compiled Feature Folding (SCFF) is a training‑free inference framework that addresses the feature‑side scaling dilemma in tabular foundation models by routing support‑ranked features through bounded leaves of the native encoder, checking residual evidence, and merging encoded messages for a single contextual prediction. This approach transforms quadratic pairwise mixing into linear‑in‑width work with a bounded local working set, achieving dataset‑macro accuracy and NLL improvements across six backbones on an 18‑dataset wide‑table slice. SCFF delivers significant GPU‑memory savings (median 2.09×–2.36×) and, when constrained by a peak‑memory ceiling, further boosts accuracy by up to 4.06 points over the widest single‑leaf baseline. whyItMatters":"SCFF demonstrates that memory‑efficient inference can simultaneously improve accuracy and reduce resource usage in tabular foundation models, offering a practical solution for deploying these models at scale."

By Tian Zhou, Beverly Jin, Xue Wang, Linxiao Yang, Wenwei Wang, Bingqing Peng, Mengni Ye, Jinjie Gu, Liang Sun
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 14

TabH2O: A Unified Foundation Model for Tabular Prediction

arXiv:2605. 18383v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present TabH2O, a foundation model for tabular data that performs classification and regression in a single forward pass via in-context learning.

By Pascal Pfeiffer, Dmitry Gordeev, Mathias M\"uller, Laura Fink, Joan Salv\`a Soler, Mark Landry, Branden Murray, Marcos V. Conde, Sri Satish Ambati
arXiv Machine Learning
4d ago

It's All Training: A Fully Synthetic Single-Stage Recipe for LLMs

arXiv:2609.37891v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Current pre-training datasets are derived from web crawls, with all their issues, and were not designed to support mid- and post-training pipelines--...

By Pierre-Carl Langlais, Pieter Delobelle, Yannick Detrois, Pavel Chizhov, Carlos Rosas-Hinostroza, Neil Si Smail, Benjamin Burtin, Hanna Shcharbakova, Ivan Yamshchikov, Anastasia Stasenko