arXiv AI

Causal-Audit: Explicit and Auditable Graph-based Reasoning via Target-Aware Causal Chain Construction

arXiv:2607. 15281v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal and intervention-based question answering is fundamental to advancing large language models (LLMs) toward reasoning beyond surface-level correlations and understanding underlying causal mechanisms.

arXiv AI
Jun 24

Grounding Multi-Hop Reasoning in Structural Causal Models via Group Relative Policy Optimization

arXiv:2605. 01482v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Multi-Hop Fact Verification requires complex reasoning across disparate evidence, posing significant challenges for Large Language Models , which may suffer from hallucinations and fractured logical chains.

By Yunhan Bu, Quan Zhang, Huaping Zhang, Guotong Geng, Chunxiao Gao, Askar Hamdulla, Juan Wang, Qiuchi Li, Baohua Zhang, Shuai Lei, Yunbo Cao, Zhunchen Luo
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 26

Use What You Know: Causal Foundation Models with Partial Graphs

arXiv:2602. 14972v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Estimating causal quantities traditionally relies on bespoke estimators tailored to specific assumptions.

By Arik Reuter, Anish Dhir, Cristiana Diaconu, Jake Robertson, Ole Ossen, Frank Hutter, Adrian Weller, Mark van der Wilk, Bernhard Sch\"olkopf
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 4

Causal-Counterfactual RAG: The Integration of Causal-Counterfactual Reasoning into RAG

The paper introduces Causal-Counterfactual RAG, a new framework that augments Retrieval-Augmented Generation with explicit causal graphs and counterfactual reasoning. By incorporating cause‑effect relationships into retrieval and evaluating both direct causal evidence and counterfactual scenarios, the approach aims to produce more robust, accurate, and interpretable answers. This method seeks to maintain contextual coherence, reduce hallucinations, and improve reasoning fidelity compared to traditional RAG systems.

By Harshad Khadilkar, Abhay Gupta
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 11

CausalArena: Benchmarking Causal Discovery in the Foundation Model Era

CausalArena is a new benchmark designed to evaluate causal discovery methods in the era of foundation models. It unifies synthetic structural causal models (SCMs), semantically grounded SCMs, and formula‑grounded SCMs, while also including real‑world datasets for external validation. Experiments show that performance rankings vary widely across different SCM families and protocols, indicating that strong results on one benchmark do not necessarily transfer to others.

By Zi-Rong Li, Si-Yang Liu, Tian-Zuo Wang, Han-Jia Ye
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Sep 10

CausalArena: Benchmarking Causal Discovery in the Foundation Model Era

CausalArena is a unified, evolvable benchmark designed to evaluate causal discovery methods across diverse structural causal models (SCMs). It incorporates synthetic SCMs for controlled structural variation, semantic operational SCMs for human-auditable environments, and formula-grounded SCMs to test discovery under explicit scientific mechanisms, along with real-world datasets for external validity. Experiments show that performance rankings vary significantly across SCM families and protocols, indicating that strong results on one benchmark do not generalize to others, especially in the context of causal discovery foundation models.

arXiv AI
Aug 11

TempoBench: Reasoning Execution Without Causal Attribution Is Just Simulation

arXiv:2510. 27544v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Current training paradigms, optimized for long-horizon reasoning trace execution, have made Large Language Models (LLMs) excel at pattern matching and forward simulation of reasoning, but underperform at counterfactual causal understanding and reasoning.

By Nikolaus Holzer, William Fishell, Baishakhi Ray, Mark Santolucito