arXiv:2602. 16481v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal discovery seeks to uncover causal relations from data, typically represented as causal graphs, and is essential for predicting the effects of interventions.
By Zihao Li, Fabrizio Russo
arXiv:2602. 20094v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: As large language models (LLMs) witness increasing deployment in complex, high-stakes decision-making scenarios, it becomes imperative to ground their reasoning in causality rather than spurious correlations.
By Yuzhe Wang, Yaochen Zhu, Jundong Li
arXiv:2605. 01482v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Multi-Hop Fact Verification requires complex reasoning across disparate evidence, posing significant challenges for Large Language Models , which may suffer from hallucinations and fractured logical chains.
By Yunhan Bu, Quan Zhang, Huaping Zhang, Guotong Geng, Chunxiao Gao, Askar Hamdulla, Juan Wang, Qiuchi Li, Baohua Zhang, Shuai Lei, Yunbo Cao, Zhunchen Luo
arXiv:2606. 07525v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal graphs in text are typically populated by observable, predefined events.
By Liesbeth Allein, Marie-Francine Moens
arXiv:2404.06349v3 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: The ability to understand causality significantly impacts the competence of large language models (LLMs) in output explanation and counterfactual r...
By Yu Zhou, Xingyu Wu, Jibin Wu, Liang Feng, Kay Chen Tan
arXiv:2508. 21010v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Existing Causal-Why Video Question Answering (VideoQA) models often struggle with higher-order reasoning, relying on opaque, monolithic pipelines that entangle video understanding, causal inference, and answer generation.
By Paritosh Parmar, Eric Peh, Basura Fernando
arXiv:2602. 14972v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Estimating causal quantities traditionally relies on bespoke estimators tailored to specific assumptions.
By Arik Reuter, Anish Dhir, Cristiana Diaconu, Jake Robertson, Ole Ossen, Frank Hutter, Adrian Weller, Mark van der Wilk, Bernhard Sch\"olkopf
The paper introduces Causal-Counterfactual RAG, a new framework that augments Retrieval-Augmented Generation with explicit causal graphs and counterfactual reasoning. By incorporating cause‑effect relationships into retrieval and evaluating both direct causal evidence and counterfactual scenarios, the approach aims to produce more robust, accurate, and interpretable answers. This method seeks to maintain contextual coherence, reduce hallucinations, and improve reasoning fidelity compared to traditional RAG systems.
By Harshad Khadilkar, Abhay Gupta
arXiv:2606. 05972v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal graphs provide a high-level language for making mechanisms transparent.
By Nirit Nussbaum-Hoffer, Nitay Calderon, Liat Ein-Dor, Roi Reichart
CausalArena is a new benchmark designed to evaluate causal discovery methods in the era of foundation models. It unifies synthetic structural causal models (SCMs), semantically grounded SCMs, and formula‑grounded SCMs, while also including real‑world datasets for external validation. Experiments show that performance rankings vary widely across different SCM families and protocols, indicating that strong results on one benchmark do not necessarily transfer to others.
By Zi-Rong Li, Si-Yang Liu, Tian-Zuo Wang, Han-Jia Ye
CausalArena is a unified, evolvable benchmark designed to evaluate causal discovery methods across diverse structural causal models (SCMs). It incorporates synthetic SCMs for controlled structural variation, semantic operational SCMs for human-auditable environments, and formula-grounded SCMs to test discovery under explicit scientific mechanisms, along with real-world datasets for external validity. Experiments show that performance rankings vary significantly across SCM families and protocols, indicating that strong results on one benchmark do not generalize to others, especially in the context of causal discovery foundation models.
arXiv:2510. 27544v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Current training paradigms, optimized for long-horizon reasoning trace execution, have made Large Language Models (LLMs) excel at pattern matching and forward simulation of reasoning, but underperform at counterfactual causal understanding and reasoning.
By Nikolaus Holzer, William Fishell, Baishakhi Ray, Mark Santolucito