arXiv:2607. 11470v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential for integrating solar and wind generation into modern power systems, where operators must weigh risk rather than act on point forecasts alone.
arXiv:2510. 15780v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly used to support renewable energy forecasting and grid operations.
arXiv:2606. 08630v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Global wind power capacity, especially in China, is booming, with new farms spanning diverse terrains and climates.
arXiv:2608. 02088v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reliable photovoltaic (PV) forecasts are needed for low-carbon energy systems, but newly deployed sites often have short, imperfect records.
arXiv:2508. 13362v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Conformal prediction (CP) is well-suited for uncertainty quantification in time series forecasting due to its distribution-free coverage guarantees.
arXiv:2411. 12193v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The rapid growth of distributed energy resources (DERs) presents both opportunities and operational challenges for electric grid management.
arXiv:2605. 29976v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We evaluate the climate simulation capabilities of ArchesWeather and ArchesWeatherGen, two machine learning models originally trained for weather forecasting and evaluated up to a 10-day lead time.
arXiv:2608. 17079v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Conformal prediction provides distribution-free prediction intervals but relies on exchangeability, an assumption often violated in economic forecasting because of covariate shift, concept drift, local heterogeneity and latent regimes.
arXiv:2607. 20587v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Modern power systems increasingly require probabilistic forecasts amid interacting uncertainties from renewable intermittency, flexible demand, market volatility, and weather-dependent generation.
arXiv:2510. 20769v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Accurate medium-range precipitation forecasting is essential for hydrometeorological risk management but remains challenging for both numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems and data-driven models.
arXiv:2511. 23043v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We present a probabilistic data-driven weather model providing ensembles of high spatial resolution realizations of 87 variables at arbitrary ensemble size and forecast length.
arXiv:2606. 09473v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Probabilistic forecasters are increasingly learned, yet the baselines they are compared against are often weak or omitted.
arXiv:2606. 02849v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Interval wind speed forecasting is essential for the efficient integration of wind energy into power systems, as it accounts for the inherent uncertainty of wind resources.