arXiv:2607. 23721v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Distributional random forests replace mean-based CART splitting with criteria that compare the full conditional response distribution in candidate children.
arXiv:2004. 10846v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Problem definition: Traditionally, New York City's top 8 public schools have selected candidates solely based on their scores in the Specialized High School Admissions Test (SHSAT).
arXiv:2609.07944v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Existing causal-inference benchmarks for LLMs mostly score method descriptions or whether generated code runs, not whether the executed workflow recove...
The paper investigates whether reader-specific differences in retrieval‑augmented generation (RAG) reflect reusable structure or merely input‑local interactions. By fixing query, evidence, task, scoring, and intervention, the authors find that nine readers disagree on the effect sign in 33% of cases, with reader×query interactions explaining 29.8% of utility variance. They further decompose heterogeneity into evidence activity, ordinal preference, and conditional signed direction, discovering that ordinal reader geometry is stable across multiple settings while signed geometry is task‑bounded, yet stable ordinal similarity does not predict cross‑reader intervention transfer.
arXiv:2606. 07560v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Function-vector (FV) heads (Todd et al.
The paper introduces a new estimand for conditional distributional treatment effects that captures how treatments influence the entire outcome distribution, including variance and tail risks, in a covariate-dependent manner. It presents a doubly robust estimator that is minimax optimal locally and uses it to construct a test for global homogeneity of conditional potential outcome distributions. The test accommodates discrepancies beyond the maximum mean discrepancy, guarantees valid type‑1 error, is consistent against fixed alternatives, and includes a computationally efficient, permutation‑free algorithm with exact closed‑form expressions for two natural discrepancies.
arXiv:2608. 12555v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predictive explanation methods attribute a model output; they do not, by themselves, attribute an intervention effect on the real-world outcome.
The paper introduces FAPE, a four‑stage framework for evaluating the post‑processing fairness intervention ThresholdOptimizer across eight diverse domains, including criminal justice, finance, healthcare, and education. It reports that the intervention reduces disparity in most high‑disparity cases but can worsen fairness when baseline disparities are low, and that a single deployment‑time audit is unreliable without continuous monitoring and baseline‑disparity screening.
arXiv:2604. 23904v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Synthetic tabular data are often evaluated by distributional similarity, privacy distance, or train-on-synthetic-test-on-real predictive performance, but these criteria do not ensure validity for causal inference.
arXiv:2606. 01184v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Many interventions alter the structure of an outcome distribution rather than its mean: they can split a population into disconnected regimes, create loops or holes, generate branches, or reorganize an outcome cloud while leaving the average response nearly unchanged.
arXiv:2605. 01765v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Mediation analysis has traditionally focused on outcome-level summary contrasts, such as mean effects, which may obscure substantial distributional changes induced by complex and nonlinear causal mechanisms.
arXiv:2609.22566v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Knowledge distillation (KD) aims to compress high-performance teacher LLMs into lightweight students. However, distilled students often exhibit subst...