arXiv:2606. 14690v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study a \emph{max-risk} objective for active learning in a multi-group mean estimation $d$-armed bandits: a learner adaptively allocates a budget of $T$ samples across $d$ groups to minimize the worst-case uncertainty index $\max_{k\in[d]}\sigma_k^2/n_k$, where $\sigma_k$ is the standard deviation of the distribution of arm $d$, and $n_k$ is the number of times arm $d$ is sampled.
By Abdellah Aznag, Rachel Cummings, Adam N. Elmachtoub
arXiv:2606. 30372v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Quantitative research across the social and behavioral sciences depends on human subject experiments that are expensive, slow, and subject to sampling bias.
By Haobo Yang
The paper introduces a low‑rank framework for ranking large language models (LLMs) on task‑specific benchmarks using sparse pairwise comparisons. By modeling the task‑by‑model ability matrix as low rank, the method shares information across related tasks while preserving task‑specific differences, and it provides uncertainty‑aware ranking through debiased estimators and simultaneous confidence sets. Experiments on synthetic data and the Chatbot Arena benchmark demonstrate improved sample efficiency and tighter, better‑calibrated ranking certificates, especially in the sparse comparison regime typical of real LLM evaluations.
By Jiachun Li, David Simchi-Levi, Will Wei Sun
The paper treats large language model (LLM) evaluation as a tensor completion problem, modeling noisy, sparse, and non‑uniform pairwise human judgments through a low‑rank latent score tensor under Bradley‑Terry‑Luce‑type models. It derives the efficient influence function and semiparametric efficiency bound for smooth functionals of the true tensor, and proposes a one‑step debiased estimator with asymptotic normality. A key innovation is a score‑whitening technique that equalizes local Fisher information, overcoming anisotropy in the information operator and enabling stable inference at optimal sample‑complexity.
By Jiachun Li, David Simchi-Levi, Will Wei Sun
arXiv:2605. 07565v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study Bayesian Optimisation (BO) in settings where the objective function is influenced by uncontrollable environmental contexts governed by an unknown probability distribution.
By Tigran Ramazyan, Denis Derkach
arXiv:2607. 15485v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Score-based generative models exhibit a puzzling behavior: they often appear to cover all modes of a target multimodal distribution and yet may fail to learn the correct relative mode amplitudes, which can be interpreted as mixture weights.
By Andrew Dennehy, Ramchandran Muthukumar, Rebecca Willett, Nisha Chandramoorthy
arXiv:2608. 06182v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study stochastic extragradient (SEG) methods for solving monotone variational inequality problems (VIPs) over a feasible set.
By TaeHo Yoon, Nicolas Loizou
arXiv:2608. 05995v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reliable uncertainty estimates are critical in safety-sensitive applications, where understanding the sources of predictive uncertainty is essential.
By Frieder Wizgall, Georg Tirpitz, Moritz Seiler, Kerstin Ritter, B\'alint Mucs\'anyi
arXiv:2607. 04627v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Persona-Trained Monte Carlo (PTMC) estimates distributions of market-outcome functionals by repeatedly simulating limit-order-book interaction among $K$ neural policy bots whose behavioral personas are drawn from a learned heterogeneity distribution $\mathcal{P}$.
By Salavat Ishbulatov
arXiv:2608.23086v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Black-box large language models need confidence scores that can separate likely-correct from likely-incorrect outputs, enabling systems to prioritize h...
By Rounak Sharma, Ananya B. Sai, Soumyabrata Pal
arXiv:2509. 17314v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Software increasingly relies on the emergent capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs), from natural language understanding to program analysis and generation.
By Juyeon Yoon, Somin Kim, Robert Feldt, Shin Yoo
arXiv:2609. 22783v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study differentially private covariance estimation in operator norm for mean-zero sub-Gaussian distributions with unknown covariance support and at most $k$ nonzero entries per row.
By Zihan Zhang