arXiv AI

Leveraging contextual events on structure-aware next activity prediction

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 31

Revisiting Predictive Process Monitoring in the Age of Foundation Models: A Comparative Study of Sequence, Tabular, and LLM Approaches

arXiv:2607. 27797v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predictive process monitoring (PPM) leverages event logs to forecast the future of running process instances, for instance, predicting the next activity, the remaining time until case completion, or the time to the next event.

By Lennart Fertig, Lukas Kirchdorfer, Tobias Sesterhenn
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 21

Process-Aware Event Log Augmentation for Process Prediction under Labeled Data Scarcity

The paper introduces SiamSA-PPM, a self‑supervised framework that augments event logs for predictive process monitoring by generating realistic trace variants using control‑flow semantics and frequent behavioral patterns. It combines Siamese learning with statistically grounded data augmentation to learn generalizable prefix representations without requiring labeled data. Experiments on diverse real‑world logs show that SiamSA-PPM matches or outperforms state‑of‑the‑art baselines in next‑activity and final‑outcome prediction tasks.

By Sjoerd van Straten, Alessandro Padella, Marwan Hassani
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Oct 13

Foundation Models for Event Prediction Across Heterogeneous Event Logs

The paper introduces the Foundation Event Predictor (FEP), a scalable in‑context architecture that performs next‑event prediction across diverse event logs using learned, event‑level nonparametric inference. FEP employs causal self‑attention to encode context and target histories, cross‑attention for relevance‑weighted aggregation, and permutation‑robust embedding learning to decouple event IDs from semantics. Trained on 696 real‑world datasets and evaluated on 50 unseen ones, FEP generalizes effectively to new systems without parameter adaptation, often matching or surpassing models trained separately on each target dataset.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 3

MISApp: Multi-Hop Intent-Aware Session Graph Learning for Next App Prediction

MISApp is a profile‑free framework that predicts the next mobile app a user will launch by learning multi‑hop session graphs. It captures transition dependencies across different structural ranges, incorporates temporal context and spatial categorization, and models intent evolution from recent interactions. Experiments on two real‑world datasets show MISApp outperforms baselines in both standard and cold‑start settings while remaining efficient, and analyses reveal that multi‑hop relations provide higher‑order predictive signals and interpretable attention weights.

By Yunchi Yang, Longlong Li, Jianliang Wu, Cunquan Qu
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Oct 13

A Node Embedding Framework for Model-Centric Conformance Checking in Process Mining

The paper presents a model‑centric evaluation framework for process discovery that uses node embeddings and Procrustes alignment to compare Petri net models across different datasets. By transforming Petri nets into graph representations, the method computes a bounded cosine‑distance metric that unifies fitness and precision assessments and remains robust to noise. Experiments on real and synthetic logs demonstrate that the embedding‑based indicator outperforms traditional conformance metrics and is sensitive to model degradation while providing activity‑level deviation localization.