arXiv AI

Leveraging contextual events on structure-aware next activity prediction

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 31

Revisiting Predictive Process Monitoring in the Age of Foundation Models: A Comparative Study of Sequence, Tabular, and LLM Approaches

arXiv:2607. 27797v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predictive process monitoring (PPM) leverages event logs to forecast the future of running process instances, for instance, predicting the next activity, the remaining time until case completion, or the time to the next event.

By Lennart Fertig, Lukas Kirchdorfer, Tobias Sesterhenn
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 3

MISApp: Multi-Hop Intent-Aware Session Graph Learning for Next App Prediction

MISApp is a profile‑free framework that predicts the next mobile app a user will launch by learning multi‑hop session graphs. It captures transition dependencies across different structural ranges, incorporates temporal context and spatial categorization, and models intent evolution from recent interactions. Experiments on two real‑world datasets show MISApp outperforms baselines in both standard and cold‑start settings while remaining efficient, and analyses reveal that multi‑hop relations provide higher‑order predictive signals and interpretable attention weights.

By Yunchi Yang, Longlong Li, Jianliang Wu, Cunquan Qu
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 3

A Unified Particle Filter LSTM for Data-Driven Process Simulation

The paper introduces a Unified Particle Filter LSTM (Unified PF‑LSTM) for data‑driven process simulation, which maintains a weighted set of recurrent‑state hypotheses to better capture latent process conditions from incomplete event logs. By summarizing this particle belief with a weighted mean and moment‑generating‑function features, the model predicts next‑activity probabilities and conditional sojourn‑time quantiles. Experiments on three real‑world emergency department datasets show that the framework consistently outperforms existing data‑driven baselines in reproducing routing, duration, and system‑level behavior, especially when process dynamics are only partially reflected in the logs.

By Parvin Malekzadeh, Opher Baron, Dmitry Krass
arXiv AI
4d ago

Decision-Aware Suffix Prediction and Reasoning of Business Processes

The paper introduces a decision‑aware suffix prediction framework that combines neural suffix predictors with decision mining rules extracted from event logs. By incorporating case‑ and event‑level attributes into the prediction process, the approach improves accuracy for short prefixes and rare process variants. Experiments on multiple event logs demonstrate that the framework not only enhances prediction performance but also provides intrinsic interpretability through mined decision rules.

By Henryk Mustroph, Stefanie Rinderle-Ma