arXiv:2603. 01119v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A fundamental challenge in causal inference with observational data is correct specification of a causal model.
arXiv:2606. 00278v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: For many real-world systems, causal ground truth is difficult to obtain, making claims about causal effects hard to assess.
arXiv:2606. 21185v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: There is a precise sense in which drawing causal inferences from observational data is hard, even when identifiability is assumed.
arXiv:2603. 02159v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Instrumental variable (IV) and proximal causal learning (Proxy) methods are central frameworks for causal inference in the presence of unobserved confounding.
arXiv:2607. 11508v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery, the process of recovering underlying causal structures from observational data, is a fundamental pursuit across scientific disciplines.
arXiv:2511. 14441v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: To distinguish Markov equivalent graphs in causal discovery, it is necessary to restrict the structural causal model.
arXiv:2410. 14483v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Reliable uncertainty quantification for causal effects is crucial in high-stakes applications, but remains challenging when the target is an entire function rather than a scalar estimand.
arXiv:2606. 19361v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Identification conditions describe the computability of a target query or parameter of interest as a function of the type and amount of information available.
arXiv:2606. 01457v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Bayesian optimization is a popular way to optimize expensive systems, where every experiment, simulation, or intervention costs time or money.
arXiv:2606. 23741v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal reasoning, which encompasses the discovery of causal structures and the inference of causal effects, is fundamental to data-driven decision making.
arXiv:2606. 06288v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal representation learning aims to infer the high-level latent causal concepts that give rise to observed low-level measurements.
arXiv:2606. 18011v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Constraint-based causal discovery relies on repeated conditional independence tests, but fast nonparametric tests often sacrifice calibration, especially when variables depend on the conditioning set through nonlinear relationships.
arXiv:2601. 13735v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Probabilistic confidence metrics are increasingly adopted as proxies for reasoning quality in Best-of-N selection, under the assumption that higher confidence reflects higher reasoning fidelity.