arXiv:2608. 00063v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Europe is warming faster than the global mean, yet the spatial organisation of this acceleration remains incompletely understood.
arXiv:2608. 09966v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: European summer warming reflects interactions among background change, persistent ocean--land--circulation states, and same-season variability.
Time-series foundation models are evaluated almost exclusively on public archives that predate them, so a strong score cannot be separated from having seen the test set during pretraining. The obvious...
BridgeMem is a new method for temporal knowledge graph forecasting that focuses on pair‑specific transition evidence, adding a residual correction to the log scores of a frozen full‑vocabulary forecaster. It retrieves and encodes prior events between a query actor and candidate, converting them into a likelihood‑ratio correction via a support‑adaptive empirical‑Bayes reader. Across five benchmarks, BridgeMem outperforms nine baselines from 2021–2026, improving filtered MRR and Hits@{1,3,10} metrics by up to 0.0216.
arXiv:2607. 13101v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Global Station Weather Forecasting (GSWF) is pivotal for localized and extreme weather prediction over key regions.
arXiv:2608. 16795v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Systems that generate scientific research questions are evaluated today by expert scores, LLM-as-judge ratings, or curated case studies -- all subjective, none falsifiable.
arXiv:2608. 09971v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Over the past few years, the rapid development of machine learning (ML) models for weather forecasting has produced deterministic models whose medium-range skill matches or exceeds that of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)'s high-resolution forecast (HRES).
The study analyzes 207,111 astronomy papers from 2015 to mid‑2026 to quantify how many contain language‑model‑generated vocabulary. Using a hierarchical Bayesian model calibrated on pre‑2020 unassisted papers and 392 papers that disclose model use, the authors estimate that in 2025 roughly 54% (±8% statistical, ±26% systematic) of papers show a language‑model trace, with the estimate remaining above 36% under various assumptions. Despite only 0.81% of 2025 papers explicitly declaring model assistance, the trace is pervasive, and the detectable signal is fading as authors adapt to the characteristic words. whyItMatters":"The findings reveal that language‑model assistance has become widespread in recent astronomy research, yet most authors do not disclose its use, highlighting a growing gap between actual practice and transparency in scholarly writing."
Data-driven models now rival numerical weather prediction in the medium range, but extending them to sub-seasonal lead times raises challenges absent at shorter horizons. Errors accumulate over long autoregressive rollouts, systematic biases grow with lead time, and several years of data must be held out for independent verification, even though machine-learning models otherwise benefit from longer training records.
arXiv:2607. 04088v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: LongEval-Sci evaluates scientific retrieval under collection change, where a system should be effective on the current corpus and remain usable as documents accumulate over time.
arXiv:2607. 05100v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Data-driven models now rival numerical weather prediction in the medium range, but extending them to sub-seasonal lead times raises challenges absent at shorter horizons.
arXiv:2608. 08512v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Evolving documents, such as laws, tax codes, and software documentation, are amended, replaced, and sometimes reverted over time, so a question has different correct answers at different dates.