arXiv Machine Learning

Bayesian Best-Arm Identification with Abstention: A Polynomial-to-Exponential Phase Transition

arXiv:2606. 29203v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study the Bayesian fixed-budget best-arm identification problem in which a learner can abstain from making a terminal recommendation.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

Asymptotic Optimality of Thompson Sampling for Risk-Averse Bandits with Sub-Gaussian Rewards

arXiv:2606. 09191v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We prove that $\rho\text{-}\mathrm{NPTS}_{\mathrm{SG}}$, an anchor-free nonparametric Thompson Sampling algorithm for risk-averse bandits, achieves regret matching the instance-dependent lower bound to leading order in $\log n$, establishing it as asymptotically optimal for any continuous risk functional $\rho$ (CVaR, mean-variance, Sharpe ratio, distortion risk measures, and more) on the class of distributions with bounded density and sub-Gaussian tails, including Gaussian arms.

By Joel Q. L. Chang
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 8

Asymptotic Optimality of Thompson Sampling for Risk-Averse Bandits with Sub-Gaussian Rewards

We prove that $ρ\text{-}\mathrm{NPTS}_{\mathrm{SG}}$, an anchor-free nonparametric Thompson Sampling algorithm for risk-averse bandits, achieves regret matching the instance-dependent lower bound to leading order in $\log n$, establishing it as asymptotically optimal for any continuous risk functional $ρ$ (CVaR, mean-variance, Sharpe ratio, distortion risk measures, and more) on the class of distributions with bounded density and sub-Gaussian tails, including Gaussian arms. Both this result and its bounded-support counterpart require only continuity of $ρ$: strictly weaker than the dominance condition of prior parametric Thompson Sampling results, and strictly weaker than the Lipschitz condition of UCB-type algorithms, yielding the first instance-optimal guarantees for non-Lipschitz functionals such as the Sharpe ratio without parametric reward assumptions.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 3

Parameter-Free Heavy-Tailed Bandits

arXiv:2607. 29460v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Heavy-tailed distributions arise naturally in sequential decision-making problems such as financial investment, online advertising, and network management, where rare but extreme outcomes can dominate performance.

By Gianmarco Genalti, Alberto Maria Metelli
arXiv AI
Jun 2

Fixed Budget is No Harder Than Fixed Confidence in Best-Arm Identification up to Logarithmic Factors

arXiv:2602. 03972v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The best-arm identification (BAI) problem is one of the most fundamental problems in interactive machine learning, which has two flavors: the fixed-budget setting (FB) and the fixed-confidence setting (FC).

By Kapilan Balagopalan, Yinan Li, Yao Zhao, Tuan Nguyen, Anton Daitche, Houssam Nassif, Kwang-Sung Jun
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 19

Indexed Bellman Information Complexity

arXiv:2606. 11171v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We develop indexed Bellman information complexity, a representation-level theory of interactive decision making centered on information indices and reference histories.

By Yunbei Xu
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 15

A Complexity Measure for Active Learning in Multi-group Mean Estimation

arXiv:2606. 14690v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study a \emph{max-risk} objective for active learning in a multi-group mean estimation $d$-armed bandits: a learner adaptively allocates a budget of $T$ samples across $d$ groups to minimize the worst-case uncertainty index $\max_{k\in[d]}\sigma_k^2/n_k$, where $\sigma_k$ is the standard deviation of the distribution of arm $d$, and $n_k$ is the number of times arm $d$ is sampled.

By Abdellah Aznag, Rachel Cummings, Adam N. Elmachtoub