arXiv Machine Learning

LLMs are Bayesian, In Expectation, Not in Realization

arXiv:2507. 11768v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Bayesian accounts of in-context learning face a direct objection: exact posterior predictives for exchangeable data are invariant to task-preserving order, yet transformers change next-token probabilities when the same examples are serialized differently.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 7

How Much is Left? LLMs Linearly Encode Their Remaining Output Length

arXiv:2607. 05316v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models generate one token at a time, yet their responses show remarkably consistent length structure: step-by-step solutions converge in predictable token counts, retrievals stop after a few sentences, retractions extend responses by measurable amounts.

By Mohamed Amine Merzouk, Dmitri Carpov, Mirko Bronzi, Damiano Fornasiere, Adam Oberman