arXiv Machine Learning

Parameter-Free and Group Conditional Online Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2606. 00419v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for the deployment of machine learning predictors in real-world scenarios where the data distribution may shift over time (i.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 1

On Optimal Data Splitting for Split Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2606. 31600v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conformal prediction and its variants, including the split conformal prediction, provide a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification by constructing prediction intervals or sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees.

By Sayan Das, Bahram Yaghooti, Todd A. Kuffner, Soumendra N. Lahiri
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 15

Noise-Adaptive Conformal Classification with Marginal Coverage

arXiv:2501.18060v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal inference provides a rigorous statistical framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, enabling well-calibrated pr...

By Teresa Bortolotti, Y. X. Rachel Wang, Xin Tong, Alessandra Menafoglio, Simone Vantini, Matteo Sesia
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 10

Multi-Distribution Robust Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2601. 02998v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In many fairness and distribution robustness problems, one has access to labeled data from multiple source distributions yet the test data may come from an arbitrary member or a mixture of them.

By Yuqi Yang, Ying Jin