arXiv AI

From Log-Odds to Shapley Values: An Explanatory Geometry for the Weighted Naive Bayes Classifier

The paper develops an explanatory framework for weighted naive Bayes classifiers by transforming the traditional supervised distance based on conditional log-likelihoods into a discriminative log‑odds representation. It demonstrates that this new representation yields a distance identical to the α1 distance between vectors of analytical Shapley values, thereby linking model geometry to local explanations. The authors also empirically evaluate various supervised distances derived from these representations using a k‑nearest neighbors classifier.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 11

Local Robustness Quantification for Naive Bayes Classifiers and Generative Forests: a General Approach

The paper introduces techniques for measuring the robustness of predictions made by two generative classifiers—naive Bayes classifiers and generative forests—whose underlying models are probabilistic graphical models. Robustness is defined as the degree to which the classifier’s distribution can be perturbed without altering its prediction, with perturbations explored via epsilon‑contamination, total variation distance, and chi‑squared divergence neighborhoods. Experiments on benchmark datasets show that the computed robustness values can serve as indicators of prediction trustworthiness and are compared against other existing indicators.

By Adri\'an Detavernier, Jasper De Bock
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 12

Hierarchical Empirical-Bayes Naive Bayes: Minimax Smoothing and Calibration with AODE Extension

arXiv:2608. 11162v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The Naive Bayes (NB) classifier remains a standard choice for categorical data, yet its widely used smoothing rules, such as Laplace, Lidstone, Krichevsky-Trofimov, and the $m$-estimate, all prescribe a fixed smoothing strength that ignores feature cardinality, sample size, and class imbalance, inducing a non-vanishing bias on modern high-cardinality tabular data.

By Nguyen Thai Anh, Truong Viet Vu, Tran Thien Thanh, Vo Nguyen Quoc Bao, Ngo Hoang Tu
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 25

Logit Distance Bounds Representational Similarity

arXiv:2602. 15438v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: For a broad family of discriminative models that includes autoregressive language models, identifiability results imply that if two models induce the same conditional distributions, then their internal representations are equal up to an invertible linear transformation.

By Beatrix M. G. Nielsen, Emanuele Marconato, Luigi Gresele, Andrea Dittadi, Simon Buchholz