arXiv AI

A Generalized-Bayes Perspective on Counterfactual Explanations: Posterior-Based Decision-Making and Evaluation

arXiv:2607. 29077v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Counterfactual explanations (CEs) enhance the interpretability of machine learning models by identifying the smallest change to an input required to obtain a desired output.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 18

FCx: An algorithm for finding Feasible Counterfactual Explanations

FCx is a new algorithm that generates counterfactual explanations while explicitly enforcing feasibility constraints. It uses a modified Variational Autoencoder with a multi‑factor loss to produce realistic, low‑cost counterfactuals that satisfy both hard constraints supplied by users and soft constraints inferred via causal inference. Experiments on four public datasets demonstrate that FCx matches state‑of‑the‑art performance across multiple metrics while guaranteeing feasibility.

By Kleopatra Markou, Vana Kalogeraki, Dimitrios Gunopulos
arXiv AI
Sep 4

A Computationally Feasible Framework for Causal Probabilistic Explanation

The paper introduces Probabilistic Causal Impact (PCI), a framework that blends actual causality (AC) with Pearl’s probability of necessity and sufficiency to provide tractable, causally grounded explanations. PCI reframes explainability as an estimation problem on a probabilistic causal model, enabling efficient approximation via Monte Carlo sampling. The authors evaluate PCI on synthetic and real-world data, demonstrating consistency with AC, scalability, and applicability to complex continuous systems and large-scale causal machine learning models.

By Rafal Urbaniak, Sam Witty, Daniel Waxman, Andy Zane, Poorva Garg, Emily Bunnapradist, Sankaran Vaidyanathan, Jack Feser, Drew Lehe, Eli Bingham
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 2

Profit-Based Counterfactual Explanations for Product Improvement: A Case Study of Manga Sales in Japan

Counterfactual explanation (CE) is widely used to enhance the interpretability of machine learning models and support data-driven decision-making based on model predictions. However, existing CE methods typically require two exogenously specified inputs: a desired output value (target) and a distance function that quantifies changes in explanatory variables.