The paper introduces a unified framework for measuring divergences between conditional distributions using kernel embeddings, termed conditional maximum mean discrepancy (CMMD). It defines a family of CMMD metrics—CMMD_0, CMMD_1, and CMMD_2—each based on different RKHS embeddings, and generalizes them to a level‑s CMMD with clear assumptions and operator‑based smoothing connections. Additionally, the authors present a novel doubly robust estimator for CMMD and demonstrate through experiments that the metric captures complex conditional dependencies for statistical testing.
By Peter Moskvichev, Siu Lun Chau, Dino Sejdinovic
arXiv:2501. 18897v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Generative models have achieved remarkable success across a range of applications, yet their evaluation still lacks principled uncertainty quantification.
By Zijun Gao, Yan Sun, Han Su
arXiv:2610.20447v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Conditional distribution equality testing is a core problem with applications in causal inference, model diagnostics, and transfer learning. Existing...
By Zekai Jin, Yi Zhang, Yun Yang, Xiaofeng Shao
arXiv:2512.20007v3 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Models with intractable normalizing constants are widely used in statistics and machine learning. Assessing the adequacy of such models poses...
By Zhihan Huang, Ziang Niu
arXiv:2607. 24235v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Over the past 20 years, kernel discrepancies have been leveraged as a highly powerful tool for quantifying the disagreement of distributions, with numerous successful applications in two-sample, goodness-of-fit, and independence testing, among others.
By Jose Cribeiro-Ramallo, Florian Kalinke, Zolt\'an Szab\'o
arXiv:2610.09731v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Kernel methods are among the most powerful tools in machine learning and statistics, with a large number of successful applications. Their immense su...
By Jose Cribeiro-Ramallo, Florian Kalinke, Zolt\'an Szab\'o
The paper introduces a new estimand for conditional distributional treatment effects that captures how treatments influence the entire outcome distribution, including variance and tail risks, in a covariate-dependent manner. It presents a doubly robust estimator that is minimax optimal locally and uses it to construct a test for global homogeneity of conditional potential outcome distributions. The test accommodates discrepancies beyond the maximum mean discrepancy, guarantees valid type‑1 error, is consistent against fixed alternatives, and includes a computationally efficient, permutation‑free algorithm with exact closed‑form expressions for two natural discrepancies.
By Saksham Jain, Alex Luedtke
arXiv:2602. 13362v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty.
By \'Ad\'am Jung, Domokos M. Kelen, Andr\'as A. Bencz\'ur
arXiv:2512. 19510v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Conditional independence (CI) is central to causal inference, feature selection, and graphical modeling, yet it is untestable in many settings without additional assumptions.
By Alek Fr\"ohlich, Vladimir R. Kostic, Karim Lounici, Daniel Perazzo, Daniel Tiezzi, Massimiliano Pontil
arXiv:2507. 12843v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Are two distributions close to each other with statistical significance?
By Zhijian Zhou, Liuhua Peng, Xunye Tian, Mingming Gong, Feng Liu
arXiv:2511. 03963v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We introduce a density-power weighted variant of the Stein operator, called the $\gamma$-Stein operator, for robust inference with unnormalized probability models.
By Shinto Eguchi
arXiv:2609.23906v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: This paper introduces a novel algorithm for predicting conditional joint distributions of vector-valued targets in stochastic systems whose randomness...
By Andrew Polar, Michael Poluektov