arXiv Machine Learning

Multivariate quantile regression via Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks

arXiv AI
Sep 7

Long Horizon Transformer Quantile Fault Prediction for Multi Site Industrial Predictive Maintenance

The paper introduces TQRNN30d, a long‑horizon predictive maintenance model that uses a dual‑stage quantile regression neural network to transform hourly machine data into a 324‑dimensional quantile‑state representation, which is then classified with a multi‑stream temporal fusion architecture. Trained on data from 72 machines across nine facilities, the model achieves high performance at 30‑day horizons (F1 ≈ 80%, recall ≈ 80%, precision ≈ 82%, accuracy ≈ 82%, ROC‑AUC ≈ 0.82) and outperforms 18 baseline methods at 7‑, 14‑, and 30‑day thresholds. The study demonstrates that explicit conditional‑quantile representations can effectively distinguish gradual degradation from normal operation over multi‑day planning windows, though generalisation to unseen sites or equipment remains untested.

By David J Poland, Daniele Ravi, Na Helian
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 18

Convolution Smoothed Quantile Regression for XGBoost

arXiv:2608. 15290v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The increasing availability of large and complex datasets across many scientific disciplines has led to widespread adoption of machine learning (ML) for prediction.

By Mandy Yao (University of Toronto), Meredith Franklin (University of Toronto)
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 1

Prediction-Powered Conditional Inference

arXiv:2603.05575v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study prediction-powered conditional inference in the setting where labeled data are scarce, unlabeled covariates are abundant, and a blac...

By Yang Sui, Jin Zhou, Hua Zhou, Xiaowu Dai