arXiv:2607. 03279v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate regional weather prediction requires resolving fine-scale structure while remaining consistent with global dynamics.
arXiv:2604. 03275v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Effective adaptation and mitigation strategies for climate change require high-resolution projections to inform strategic decision-making.
arXiv:2609.39833v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Extreme rainfall events are increasing in intensity and frequency as climate change accelerates. While kilometer-scale precipitation forecasts are crit...
The paper introduces lightweight probabilistic downscaling models that build on a modified U‑Net backbone, adapting two recent machine learning techniques from weather forecasting. Using a two‑stage training curriculum—deterministic pretraining followed by probabilistic fine‑tuning—the authors evaluate their models on the CORDEX‑ML‑Bench suite for daily maximum temperature and precipitation in the Alps, New Zealand, and South Africa. The results show that this approach outperforms the current state‑of‑the‑art in RMSE, offering a more computationally efficient method for generating fine‑resolution regional climate data.
arXiv:2609.40140v2 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Extreme heat is where urban adaptation needs kilometer-scale data the most, but the simulations training a downscaler can cost more than they save, a...
arXiv:2607. 05292v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Super-resolving coarse atmospheric fields to local PM$_{2.
arXiv:2608. 12271v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Global weather reanalyses and forecasts resolve the evolving atmospheric state on coarse grids, but site-specific applications require predictions at arbitrary locations where near-surface conditions also depend on unresolved terrain and land-surface properties.
arXiv:2607. 04190v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Global reanalysis products such as ERA5-Land provide spatially complete weather fields but at resolutions too coarse for local applications, particularly in mountainous regions where temperature can vary by several degrees over short distances.
The study demonstrates that near‑surface weather variability over tens to hundreds of meters can be inferred without resolving atmospheric dynamics by combining sparse weather stations, high‑resolution Earth observation, and coarse atmospheric dynamics. Using this approach, the authors estimate temperature, dewpoint, and wind at 30‑meter resolution across the contiguous United States, achieving 11–28 % error reduction compared to the strongest baseline and recovering nearly half of the temperature variability in median grid cells. The method captures time‑varying differences between locations and produces coherent patterns linked to topography and land cover.
arXiv:2607. 05645v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep-learning-based climate downscaling aims to learn relationships from historical low-resolution (LR) and high-resolution (HR) climate data to generate HR climate projections.
arXiv:2606. 30821v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probabilistic downscaling is the task of modeling the conditional distribution of high-resolution fields given coarse inputs, and is a central challenge to atmospheric science, climate modeling, and other multiscale physical systems.
arXiv:2602. 13416v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The proliferation of data-driven models in weather and climate sciences has marked a significant paradigm shift, with advanced models demonstrating exceptional skill in medium-range forecasting.