Hugging Face Trending Papers

Federated Learning for Global Carbon Emission Forecasting: A Hybrid Time-Series Approach with Statistical and Neural Models

Climate change, primarily driven by carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, requires accurate forecasting tools to support effective mitigation policies and sustainable development strategies. Existing forecasting approaches typically rely on centralized data collection, which is often restricted by privacy regulations and the distributed nature of emission data across countries and industrial sectors.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 11

XGBoost "is all you need": the case of forecasting transmitted heat energy in District Heating Systems

This paper presents a comparative study of two distinct approaches, XGBoost and Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM), for forecasting transmitted heat energy in District Heating Systems (DHS). The objective is to explore scenarios in which conventional ML algorithms demonstrate better performance over deep learning networks in time series forecasting and the associated benefits in terms of computational cost and environmental impact.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 31

Initialization Is Critical: Advancing Federated Short-Term Load Forecasting under Load Heterogeneity via Model Initialization

The paper investigates how model initialization affects federated short‑term load forecasting (STLF) when client data are heterogeneous. It introduces two strategies: a global pretrained initialization using auxiliary public load data to reduce client drift, and a local sequential initialization (SLIAvg) that lets clients start from progressively adapted models each round. Experiments on real smart‑meter data show these methods improve convergence and lower forecasting errors while remaining compatible with existing federated learning frameworks.

By Jianing Chen, Vajiheh Farhadi, Yan Li, Thomas La Porta
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 30

Federated Graph Learning for EV Charging Demand Forecasting with Personalization Against Cyberattacks

arXiv:2405. 00742v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Mitigating cybersecurity risk in electric vehicle (EV) charging demand forecasting plays a crucial role in the safe operation of collective EV chargings, the stability of the power grid, and the cost-effective infrastructure expansion.

By Yi Li, Renyou Xie, Chaojie Li, Yi Wang, Zhaoyang Dong
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 10

Electricity Price Forecasting: Bridging Linear Models, Neural Networks and Online Learning

The paper presents a hybrid neural architecture that blends linear and nonlinear feed‑forward networks for day‑ahead electricity price forecasting. It introduces a partial online learning strategy with warm‑starting and stage‑specific hyperparameters to cut computational time, and employs Bernstein Online Aggregation to combine forecasts. Experiments on six years of major European markets show the method reduces RMSE by 11‑12% and MAE by 14‑17% compared to state‑of‑the‑art benchmarks while lowering computational cost.

By Btissame El Mahtout, Florian Ziel