arXiv Machine Learning

Hierarchical Forecast Reconciliation for Urban Rail Transit Demand Prediction under Operational Disruptions

arXiv:2606. 07044v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate and coherent passenger demand forecasting is essential for Urban Rail Transit (URT) operations.

arXiv AI
Sep 4

RATL: Learning from Retrieved Residuals for Robust Multivariate Time-Series Forecasting

RATL is a plug‑in method for multivariate time‑series forecasting that uses a frozen base forecaster to build a memory of its historical forecast residuals. During inference, RATL retrieves residual trajectories from similar past contexts and employs a set‑aware router to combine them, providing learned feedback correction. Experiments demonstrate that this residual‑retrieval approach improves the performance of the base forecaster across various benchmarks and backbones.

By Yuchen He, Yueyang Cang, Zhiyuan Ning, Ningyu Wang, Li Shi
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 4

RIDE: An Open Dataset and Benchmark for Train Delay Prediction

arXiv:2606. 05070v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Train delay prediction is an important problem for both passengers and railway operators, yet progress in the field remains difficult to assess due to the lack of standardized datasets, prediction targets, and evaluation protocols.

By Cl\'ement Elliker, Mathis Le Bail, Cl\'ement Mantoux, Jesse Read, Sonia Vanier