arXiv Statistics ML

Sub-Gaussian Concentration and Entropic Normality of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 18

Counterexamples and Sufficient Conditions: Comments on "Optimally-Transported Generalized Method of Moments"

The paper critiques the optimally‑transported generalized method of moments (OTGMM) estimator introduced by Schennach & Starck (2026a), presenting counterexamples that invalidate Theorems 2–6 under their stated assumptions. It shows that the small‑error assumptions fail to guarantee consistency and asymptotic normality, and that the large‑error analysis leads to a modified‑moment GMM estimator that can diverge from the true OTGMM minimizer, even in simple scalar and overidentified models. The authors further provide a sufficient condition ensuring that solutions of the modified moment equations also solve the original constrained problem, and replace a problematic Assumption 16 with a matrix condition that restores the required bound.

By Masahiro Kato
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 23

Error Bounds for Statistical Estimators in BTL Model with Parametric Multivariate Utility Functions

The paper investigates preference elicitation under the Bradley‑Terry‑Luce model, focusing on estimating an unknown partworth vector from pairwise queries that satisfy a joint identifiability condition. It derives minimax lower bounds and shows that the canonical maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) exists, is unique, and achieves near‑optimal error rates once the sample size exceeds a design‑dependent threshold, without requiring compactness constraints or external regularizers. The analysis decomposes the estimation error into a linear stochastic term, a second‑order bias, and a higher‑order remainder, providing a unified non‑asymptotic theory for parametric utility elicitation.

By Yicheng Li, Huifu Xu
arXiv Statistics ML
23h ago

Local polynomial density ratio estimation

arXiv:2609. 38412v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We propose a novel local-polynomial estimator of the ratio $r=f/g$ of two $d$-dimensional densities $f$ and $g$, from which independent samples are available.

By Hajo Holzmann, Alexander Meister
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Sep 24

On the SoS Certifiability of Log-Concave Distributions

For an arbitrary isotropic log-concave distribution $P$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$, we prove that the polynomial $(Cm)^m\|v\|_2^m - \mathbb{E}_{X\sim P}\langle X,v\rangle^m$ is a sum of squares for every even $m\ge2$, where $C>0$ is a universal constant. This removes the dependence on the Poincaré constant in the theorem of Kothari and Steinhardt (arXiv:1711.

arXiv Machine Learning
6d ago

On the SoS Certifiability of Log-Concave Distributions

arXiv:2609. 30105v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: For an arbitrary isotropic log-concave distribution $P$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$, we prove that the polynomial $(Cm)^m\|v\|_2^m - \mathbb{E}_{X\sim P}\langle X,v\rangle^m$ is a sum of squares for every even $m\ge2$, where $C>0$ is a universal constant.

By Aleksandr Storozhenko