arXiv:2405.14749v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning (RL) is crucial for maintaining reliable performance in high-stakes applications. While traditional RL...
arXiv:2601. 22993v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We introduce Canary, a risk-averse method designed to optimize Value-at-Risk (VaR) constrained reinforcement learning (RL) problems.
The paper introduces Canary, a risk‑averse reinforcement learning method that optimizes Value‑at‑Risk (VaR) constraints. By applying Cantelli’s inequality, Canary derives a tractable, conservative, and smooth bound on the VaR constraint using only the first two moments of the cost return, yielding a stable constraint estimator even with tight violation thresholds. Extending the trust‑region framework of Constrained Policy Optimization (CPO), the authors provide worst‑case bounds for policy improvement and constraint violation, and empirically demonstrate that Canary reliably satisfies the VaR constraint in every tested environment.
arXiv:2606. 00320v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We present an online, distribution-free framework for controlling the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), extending conformal tail risk control to non-stationary and adversarial environments.
arXiv:2609. 10866v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reinforcement learning (RL) agents deployed in real-world environments are often vulnerable to adversarial perturbations in state observations, creating risks in safety-critical applications.
The paper introduces a method for risk‑averse machine learning that uses credal sets—collections of probability distributions—to capture epistemic uncertainty about the true loss distribution. By producing predictions as credal sets and applying a novel decision rule that selects a single predictive distribution for conditional value‑at‑risk (CVaR) minimization, the approach aims to reliably avoid catastrophic decisions across classification, distribution shift, and reinforcement learning scenarios while maintaining near‑optimal expected performance.
arXiv:2607. 15457v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study robust peak-cost constrained reinforcement learning (RP-CRL), where the objective is to maximize expected reward while controlling the maximum cost encountered along a trajectory.
arXiv:2602. 03778v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Tail-end risk measures such as static conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) are used in safety-critical applications to prevent rare, yet catastrophic events.
arXiv:2607. 06610v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Portfolio optimization under uncertainty is inherently a multi-objective decision problem involving complex interactions among return, risk, market dynamics, and practical investment constraints.
arXiv:2610.19783v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reinforcement learning (RL) holds the promise of learning a policy that can outperform what is shown in the data. However, in practice, such systems su...
arXiv:2608. 09335v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multistage stochastic model predictive control (MPC) handles uncertainty by optimizing over a scenario tree, a finite branching approximation of future outcomes constructed from sampled forecasts.
The paper introduces Safe Contrastive Reinforcement Learning (Safe-CRL), a method that corrects bias in contrastive RL caused by failure-terminated Markov decision processes. By applying mass-weighted InfoNCE and a log-survival-mass score, Safe-CRL uses only a one-bit failure signal to improve survival and goal-reaching performance across twelve robot navigation and locomotion tasks. The approach demonstrates complex failure-avoidance behaviors and completes the theoretical foundation of contrastive RL under failure termination.