arXiv Machine Learning

Matching of signal, noise and hardware timescales for filtering and forecasting of correlated noise signals

The paper investigates how the intrinsic response timescales of a physical reservoir computing system—specifically a nanoporous niobium oxide reservoir—interact with the correlation times of noisy signals and the desired forecast horizon. By analyzing synthetic noisy data and cryptocurrency price volatility, the authors demonstrate that noise components faster than the reservoir’s memory and forecast horizon are effectively averaged out, while slower-varying noise can be algorithmically forecasted. They introduce the concepts of reservoir memory horizon and forecasting regime index to delineate these operating regimes and suggest that matching timescales can guide the design of reservoirs for filtering, analyzing, and predicting stochastic signals across different temporal scales.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 28

Frequency-Based Reservoir computing

arXiv:2607. 24420v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reservoir computing has emerged as an efficient machine learning framework for predicting time series generated by dynamical systems.

By Arthur S Powanwe
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 6

Echo Flow Networks

arXiv:2509. 24122v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: At the heart of time-series forecasting (TSF) lies a fundamental challenge: how can models efficiently and effectively capture long-range temporal dependencies across ever-growing sequences?

By Hongbo Liu, Jia Xu
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 14

Long-Memory Reservoir Computing for Data-Scarce Dengue Forecasting

arXiv:2607. 11272v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate dengue forecasting is crucial for public health planning, but remains challenging because incidence series are often short, noisy, non-stationary, nonlinear, and often affected by long-range temporal dependence.

By Rahul Goswami, Shinjini Paul, Palash Ghosh, Tanujit Chakraborty
arXiv AI
Aug 19

MoFE: A Novel Mixture-of-Experts Framework with Fourier Neural Operators for Cryptocurrency Forecasting

MoFE is a deep learning framework that combines Fourier Neural Operators with a Mixture-of-Experts architecture to forecast cryptocurrency prices. It models volatility as a mix of multi-frequency components—including fundamental growth, mining costs, halving events, and market sentiment—using adaptive FNO and convolutional experts. Experiments on Bitcoin data from 2020 to 2025 show MoFE outperforms existing models in short‑term horizons, reducing phase‑lag errors and improving directional accuracy and information coefficient, which translates into higher Sharpe ratios in simulated trading.

By Bowen Liu, Mingming Sun