arXiv AI

Do Agents Know When They Succeed? Calibrating Agent Confidence from Internal Representations

The paper examines whether internal representations of agentic systems can better indicate task success than traditional confidence measures. It introduces two methods—Latent Trajectory Dynamics (LTD) and Action Representation Probe (ARP)—that analyze changes in residual-stream representations and action-level representations, respectively. Experiments on Bash, SQL, and Python benchmarks with Qwen and DeepSeek models show these methods outperform conventional surface-level and sequence-based calibration baselines, offering a zero‑overhead reliability monitor without prompt changes or multiple rollouts.

arXiv AI
Aug 18

From Sequence to Structure: Relational Uncertainty Propagation for LLM Agents

The paper introduces RUPA, a trajectory‑level uncertainty quantification framework for large language model agents. RUPA models an agent’s execution as a directed graph of reasoning states, tool interactions, and environment feedback, then propagates uncertainty across this graph to capture long‑range dependencies. Experiments on benchmarks such as τ‑2, Terminal‑Bench‑2, and GAIA show that RUPA outperforms existing methods, enabling earlier failure detection and more reliable agent execution.

By Zhengzhao Ma. Boxi Cao, Yaojie Lu, Hongyu Lin, Xianpei Han, Le Sun
arXiv Computation and Language
Oct 12

ARTIS: Agentic Risk-Aware Test-Time Scaling via Iterative Simulation

The paper introduces ARTIS, a framework that separates exploration from commitment by using iterative simulation to test large language model actions before real-world execution. This approach extends inference-time computation to boost action-level reliability and robustness while avoiding environmental risk. The authors also highlight that standard LLM simulators miss rare, high-impact failures, and propose a risk‑aware simulator that focuses on fidelity for failure‑inducing actions, showing significant reliability gains across agentic benchmarks.

By Xingshan Zeng, Lingzhi Wang, Weiwen Liu, Liangyou Li, Yasheng Wang, Lifeng Shang, Xin Jiang, Qun Liu
arXiv AI
Oct 28

PIVOT: Bridging Planning and Execution in LLM Agents via Trajectory Refinement

PIVOT (Plan-Inspect-eVOlve Trajectories) is a self‑supervised framework that refines large‑language‑model agent plans by treating trajectories as optimizable objects. It operates in four stages—PLAN, INSPECT, EVOLVE, and VERIFY—using structured losses and textual gradients to iteratively improve trajectories and ensure compliance with task constraints. Experiments on DeepPlanning and GAIA show that PIVOT achieves up to 94% relative improvement in constraint satisfaction with human‑in‑the‑loop feedback and still delivers significant gains autonomously, while using 3x to 5x fewer tokens than competing methods.

By Tuo Zhang, Alin-Ionut Popa, Yan Xu, Rui Song, Dimitrios Dimitriadis
arXiv AI
Sep 24

Verifiable Hidden Dynamics Play: Generating Agentic RL Environments from Solved Mechanisms

The paper introduces VHD-Play, a pipeline that first samples and solves a mathematical model before generating agentic reinforcement learning environments, ensuring that dynamics and evaluation are aligned from the outset. This approach yields 3,300 diverse environments at a low cost and significantly improves the performance of a large language‑model agent (Qwen3.6‑35B‑A3B) across multiple diagnostic families and external benchmarks. The study demonstrates that stateful interaction is a key factor in learning gains and that scaling the training substrate can further enhance performance.

By Xinjie Shen, Wei Fan, Xudong Guo, Jianhong Tu, Yang Su, Chuqiao Kuang, Yinger Zhang, Dayiheng Liu
arXiv AI
Jun 2

From Features to Actions: Explainability in Traditional and Agentic AI Systems

arXiv:2602. 06841v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Over the last decade, Explainable AI has primarily focused on interpreting individual model predictions, producing post-hoc explanations that relate inputs to outputs under a fixed decision structure.

By Sindhuja Chaduvula, Jessee Ho, Kina Kim, Aravind Narayanan, Ahmed Y. Radwan, Mahshid Alinoori, Muskan Garg, Dhanesh Ramachandram, Shaina Raza